As climate change, fishing and other human activities threaten marine ecosystems, scientists predict which areas are most at-risk to better inform decision makers.

The paper is here

Human Impacts on Ocean Could Double or Triple by 2050, a New UC Santa Barbara Study Warns - Inside Climate News

^{Inside Climate News}

University of California, Berkeley, study found that those who experience severe effects will see up to a $1m in costs

The report itself is here

‘Hidden costs’ of climate emergency are worsening California’s affordability crisis – report

University of California, Berkeley, study found that those who experience severe effects will see upto a $1m in costs

^{Dani Anguiano (The Guardian)}

cross-posted from: mander.xyz/post/38752499

Archived

A recent global survey by UNEP FI and Global Credit Data found that only 18 per cent of banks integrate climate risk into their internal ratings-based models [IRBs], which drive regulatory capital requirements. The study cites data gaps and methodological hurdles but does not explain the deeper problem: credit risk and climate risk models are built on fundamentally different logics.

[...]

Unless supervisors adapt, the IRB models of today will remain blind to one of the most significant credit risk drivers of this century.

Credit risk models are precision tools honed on the past. Under the IRB approach, they calculate probabilities of default, losses given default, and exposure at default using deep pools of historical data.

Defaults, losses and macroeconomic patterns from years gone by are fed into these systems, with the underlying belief that yesterday’s relationships will largely hold tomorrow. This backward-looking design is reinforced by strict regulatory requirements: every risk driver must be de facto statistically significant, rigorously validated, and continuously monitored.

The result is a disciplined, data-heavy framework built to forecast the next 12 months of creditworthiness — and nothing beyond.

Climate risk models speak a different language. They are not grounded in borrower default histories but in climate science and policy pathways. Instead of asking “what happened last year, and will it repeat?”, they ask “what could happen in the decades ahead and how prepared are we if it does?” — on the premise that past performance is no guarantee of future results.

"“A factory in a flood zone may operate for years without incident, then suffer catastrophic losses from a single storm wiping it out overnight.”"

[...]

cross-posted from: lemmy.sdf.org/post/42981736

Archived

[...]

[China's Xi Jinping's] promise to cut emissions by 7-10% from their peak was indeed a landmark pledge, in the sense that the country responsible for a third of global CO2 pollution has never before committed to cutting it by so much as a puff. But when you parse the Paramount Leader’s video message to world leaders, any vestige of optimism begins to melt away.

Let’s leave aside the question of which “peak” Mr Xi had in mind – some estimates suggest Chinese greenhouse gas pollution may have plateaued last year, but his carefully worded statement leaves room for another peak yet.

[...]

Firstly, some logic. A commitment to a 7-10% cut “while striving to do better” is a commitment to a 7% cut. That is all.

And let’s not forget it’s a “net” cut, meaning the parallel pledge to “scale up the total forest stock volume to 24 billion cubic metres” will subtract the presumed amount of CO2 locked away in wood.

[...]

What else does Beijing promise? “Expand the installed capacity of wind and solar power to over 6 times the 2020 levels, striving to bring the total to 3,600 gigawatts.”

There’s that weasel word “striving” again. Signatories to the Paris Agreement said they would strive to limit temperature rise to 1.5 degrees above pre-industrial levels (specifically, the climate during the latter half of the nineteenth century). That is now considered politically impossible.

But we risk getting tied up in data. The nationally determined contribution (NDC) may not have been the most significant part of Xi’s intervention, if you read between the lines: “In the course of global green transition, fairness and equity should be upheld and the right to development of developing countries fully respected.”

[...]

It might surprise many to learn that China – while asserting itself as a major geopolitical force and very close to tying with the EU as the world’s second-largest economy – claims to be a “developing country” in the context of global climate talks, allying itself with the likes of Kiribati, Somalia and Zimbabwe.

In other words, it is the wealthy West that should pay for having had their industrial revolutions earlier. Beijing’s intransigence on this point was a major bone of contention at the COP29 summit in Azerbaijan last year.

Then comes the kicker: “It is important that countries strengthen international coordination in green technologies and industries to address the shortfall in green production capacity and ensure free flow of quality green products globally so that the benefits of green development can reach all corners of the world.”

China has invested a tremendous amount of political and actual capital in turning itself into the global workshop for green tech production. Trump is not only tossing tariffs around: He’s declared climate action a “con job” and is doing his best to shut down wind and solar development, both at home and abroad.

Meanwhile Brussels is actively pursuing a “buy European” policy. Beijing probably has reason to be concerned about its export market.

[...]

The Brief – China’s empty promises on the road to Belém | Euractiv

When you parse the Paramount Leader’s video message to world leaders, any vestige of optimism begins to melt away

^Euractiv

At the Climate Forward live event, we spoke to top policymakers about China, the Trump effect on climate policy and the boom in artificial intelligence.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/25/climate/climate-forward-event-recap.html?unlocked_article_code=1.o08.OPjZ.HaX2cpcPPMhP

The Heart of Moldova party is one of four in the Russia-friendly Patriotic Electoral Bloc, viewed as one of the main opponents of the ruling pro-Western Party of Action and Solidarity.

Archived version: archive.is/newest/euronews.com…

Disclaimer: The article linked is from a single source with a single perspective. Make sure to cross-check information against multiple sources to get a comprehensive view on the situation.

Moldova's electoral commission bars pro-Russian party from Sunday's parliamentary vote

^{Gavin Blackburn (Euronews.com)}

Wikimedia Foundation has signed onto the 4 Digital Rights of Memory Institutions, affirming memory institutions' rights to Collect, Preserve, Lend & Cooperate in the digital age.

Wikimedia, one of the world’s leading champions of free knowledge and open access, has signed the Statement on the Four Digital Rights of Memory Institutions, joining a growing number of organizations worldwide that are calling for the legal rights needed to preserve and provide access to knowledge in the digital age.

By signing the Statement, Wikimedia reinforces the growing international movement that calls for legal reform on four essential rights that ensure long-term preservation and access:

1) Right to Collect
1) Right to Preserve
1) Right to Lend
1) Right to Cooperate

These rights are not abstract. They underpin the ability of institutions to continue their public mission: collecting digital materials, preserving them for future generations, lending them fairly, and cooperating across borders to make knowledge accessible to all.

cross-posted from: lemmy.sdf.org/post/42946561

Archived

EU Climate Commissioner Wopke Hoekstra plans to push Beijing to go beyond its pledge – unveiled by President Xi Jinping on Wednesday – to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 7-10% from peak levels by 2035, a target far below what NGOs and analysts hoped for.

[...]

“This level of ambition [by China] is clearly disappointing, and given China’s immense footprint, it makes reaching the world’s climate goals significantly more challenging,” the climate commissioner said on Thursday morning.

“We will continue to push China (and others) to go beyond the current level of ambition, and respect our joint commitments under the Paris Agreement,” he said.

Analysts shared Hoekstra’s disappointment.

[...]

“With the EU and others still struggling to row forward, China could be hoisting its sails and leading the way,” said Kate Logan, director of the China Climate Hub at the Asia Society Policy Institute. Instead, the “underwhelming” 7-10% target represented a missed opportunity to deliver real leadership, she said.

[...]

This assessment echoed comments by Belinda Schäpe, a China policy analyst at the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air, who spoke immediately after Xi’s announcement.

The 7-10% emission cut was “far below what would be required to align with the Paris Agreement targets,” Schäpe said, arguing that the required CO2 reduction would have been around 30%, compared to 2024 levels.

[...]

EU climate chief vows to push China on 'disappointing' climate target

Hoekstra: China’s climate stance risks derailing Paris Agreement targets

^{Jacob Wulff Wold (Euractiv)}

The US Department of Justice is harassing election officials and using voters as pawns in a relentless effort to spread misinformation about voter fraud. Are we willing to let our personal data be used as a political game by an authoritarian government?

'Abuse of Power': Trump DOJ Attack on State Voter Rolls Decried as Threat to Democracy

"Voters are not pawns in a political game," said one advocate, "and the commonwealth will not be bullied into handing over its voter rolls to an authoritarian government."

^{julia-conley (Common Dreams)}

Hungarian Gripen fighters based in Lithuania intercepted five Russian fighters on Thursday, according to a NATO Allied Air Command statement on Facebook.

Archived version: archive.is/newest/kyivpost.com…

Disclaimer: The article linked is from a single source with a single perspective. Make sure to cross-check information against multiple sources to get a comprehensive view on the situation.

Samsung throws the gauntlet to TMSC, which recently rose its pricing thanks to overwhelming demand.

Samsung takes a scalpel to its 2nm wafer price tag, bringing it down to $20,000 — Korean chipmaker now undercuts rival TSMC by 33%

^{Bruno Ferreira (Tom's Hardware)}

The FAA is easing restrictions on Boeing aircraft deliveries, and will allow the company to again issue its own airworthiness certificates.

FAA Easing Restrictions, Will Let Boeing Decide If 737 MAXs & 787s Are Safe

^{Ben Schlappig (One Mile at a Time)}

Uncertainty reigns as Trump claims China approved TikTok deal.

Trump says TikTok should be tweaked to become “100% MAGA”

^{Ashley Belanger (Ars Technica)}