Supreme Court lets Lisa Cook remain as a Federal Reserve governor for now (they will hear arguments in January)
The Supreme Court on Wednesday allowed Lisa Cook to remain as a Federal Reserve governor for now, declining to act on the Trump administration’s effort to immediately remove her from the central bank.
In a brief unsigned order, the high court said it would hear arguments in January over Republican President Donald Trump’s effort to force Cook off the Fed board.
The court will consider whether to block a lower-court ruling in Cook’s favor while her challenge to her firing by Trump continues.
The high-court order was a rare instance of Trump not quickly getting everything he wants from the justices in an emergency appeal.
Live updates: Democrats insist upon health care demands as government shutdown begins
Democrats want the health care subsidies extended now, for Republicans to reverse the Medicaid cuts that were enacted over the summer, and for the White House to promise not to rescind congressional spending. Republicans say there’s still time to negotiate on health care this year, but stopgap funding for the government is the priority.
At issue for the subsidies, is that the tax credits have made health insurance through the Affordable Care Act more affordable for millions of people since the COVID-19 pandemic. The credits are set to expire at the end of the year if Congress doesn’t extend them — which would more than double what subsidized enrollees currently pay for health insurance premiums, according to a KFF analysis.
UK Government Issues New Order to Access iCloud User Data
UK Government Issues New Order to Access iCloud User Data
The UK government has issued a new request for Apple to provide access to encrypted iCloud user data, the Financial Times reports. The report...Hartley Charlton (MacRumors.com)
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'The West demanded that we get involved in war with Russia'
'The West demanded that we get involved in war with Russia'
In an interview, Georgian President Mikheil Kavelashvili talks about how external interference has poisoned his country's chances for EU ascension.Anatol Lieven (Responsible Statecraft)
Government issues new data demand for UK Apple users
Government targets UK Apple users in new demand for data
It is the latest development in a privacy row which has pitted the UK against the tech giant and the Trump administration.Zoe Kleinman (BBC News)
On Parot OS & got "This device is using NextDNS with no profile."
How to change DNS settings on Ubuntu - Pi My Life Up
Learn how to set the DNS servers on the Ubuntu operating system. A DNS server is what helps translate a domain name to an IP address.Emmet (Pi My Life Up)
Georgia Mos torna con “Pump The Jam”: la versione Afro House dal 3 ottobre su tutte le piattaforme digitali
Torna la carica esplosiva di Georgia Mos, dj e producer italiana di fama internazionale. Dal 3 ottobre arriva “Pump The Jam” in chiave Afro House, una rivisitazione personale della leggendaria hit anni ’90, pubblicata da QualaqAs Music e disponibile su tutte le principali piattaforme digitali.
LEGGI L'ARTICOLO: Georgia Mos torna con “Pump The Jam”: la versione Afro House dal 3 ottobre su tutte le piattaforme digitali
Georgia Mos: “Pump The Jam” in versione Afro House dal 3 ottobre
Georgia Mos firma una versione Afro House di “Pump The Jam”: uscita il 3 ottobre per QualaqAs Music. Info, stile e percorso dell’artista.Redazione (Atom Heart Magazine)
Kremlin warns of ‘boomerang’ over West’s latest asset-tapping plan
Kremlin warns of ‘boomerang’ over West’s latest asset-tapping plan
The EU has proposed a ‘reparations loan’ tied to frozen Russian funds, while US lawmakers have pushed to seize and send them to UkraineRT
Regarding account deletion...
First things first, when i delete any account i have i make sure to delete everything inside the account first, convos, posts, stories or any type of activity.
I'm in process of deleting my instagram and i already cleaned everything up except the final boss, my story archive, i have never toggled the archiving option off so the archive has accumulated stories for around 8 years, and of course meta won't let you bulk delete the archive.
my question is, does it really matter doing all of that before deleting when it comes to privacy?
or can i just simply ignore the fact that the story archive is still there and delete the account anyway?
I'm not even sure about all the steps that i do but i just do it so everthing feels clean when i arrive to the deletion button.
Value of UK arms imported by Israel reached record high in June
An investigation from Channel 4 News has found that the value of UK arms imported by Israel reached a record high in June of this year. That’s in spite of the government announcing in 2024 that they had halted 29 export licences to Israel. Instead, the investigation found that:
"Our analysis of Israel Tax Authority figures shows munitions worth around £400,000 arriving from the UK and passing through Israeli customs in June 2025 – the highest amount in a single month since available records began more than three years ago."
"The exact nature of the items isn’t specified in the records, but they were listed under a category that includes bombs, grenades, torpedoes, missiles and mines. It isn’t possible to identify the end user of the munitions from these statistics."
Value of UK arms imported by Israel reached record high in June
Despite the Labour government's partial suspension of UK arms licences to Israel, they've still sold a whopping amount to aid its genocideMaryam Jameela (The Canary)
Russia is interested in stronger, resilient Latin America — Lavrov
Russia is interested in stronger, resilient Latin America — Lavrov
The top Russian diplomat highlighted Moscow’s appreciation for Latin American countries’ commitment to preserving the historical truth about World War IITASS
Wild yeast kernza saison
Kernza® is the trademark name for the grain produced from the plant intermediate wheatgrass (Thinopyrum intermedium). The plant is native to western Asia, and this perennial “cousin” of wheat has historically been grown in the US and across the globe to feed livestock. The Land Institute is developing it to serve as a perennial grain source for people and working toward a future that includes multiple varieties of Kernza® that are economical for farmers around the world to produce at a large scale.
Kernza grains are really tiny compared to standard barley/wheat, so instead of pointlessly pouring them through my malt mill, I sent them through my flour mill on a coarser setting to get a little crush on them without completely turning them into flour. Talking to a local brewery that has brewed a few kernza beers, they told me they don't mill the kernza at all. They just dump it straight into the mash and don't really expect to get much sugar extraction from the kernza addition. They're just adding it for flavor, which is often described as similar to rye. The grain also contains a lot of beta-glucan (also similar to rye).
Recipe for 5 gallons:
- 85% Best Pils
- 15% raw Kernza
Single Infusion Mash at 150°F/65°C
- 1oz Summer hops 8.3% @60 min (31.4 IBU)
- 1oz Summer hops 8.3% hopstand for 10 min (6.6 IBU)
I got these for free, apparently Summer is no longer being grown anywhere which is a shame 🙁
Fermented at 75-80°F/24-27°C for about 3-4 weeks with a wild yeast culture I captured from a bunch of juniper berries foraged on the side of a hiking trail on Granddad's Bluff outside of LaCrosse, WI.
OG: 1.050/12°P
FG: 1.004/1°P
Bottled a week ago with enough priming sugar for 4 volumes. Could use a little more time to fully prime, but patience is difficult.
Tastes really good, I'm not sure if I can pick out the kernza or not, but the beer is really nicely fruity with some earthy/pastoral undertones.
Kernza: Innovating Sustainable Farming - Explore Now
Journey into sustainable agriculture with The Land Institute's Kernza initiative. Uncover innovative practices and benefits. Dive deeper now!The Land Institute
I was thinking a bit about the issue with the enzyme activity - it is a problem with rye malts. But with 85% of pils malt it just isn't an issue.
I think that with rye ~50% is the ratio that is possible to achieve quite easy.
Regarding account deletion...
First things first, when i delete any account i have i make sure to delete everything inside the account first, convos, posts, stories or any type of activity.
I'm in process of deleting my instagram and i already cleaned everything up except the final boss, my story archive, i have never toggled the archiving option off so the archive has accumulated stories for around 8 years, and of course meta won't let you bulk delete the archive.
my question is, does it really matter doing all of that before deleting when it comes to privacy?
or can i just simply ignore the fact that the story archive is still there and delete the account anyway?
I'm not even sure about all the steps that i do but i just do it so everthing feels clean when i arrive to the deletion button.
Theoretically - It doesn't matter. They flag all your data with a "user asked for it to be deleted" flag. It's still data that their statisticians can play with. If it was public then internet archive grabbed a screenshot.
Practically - Deleting it is almost always sufficient. They probably take a month to get rid of it. Nobody want's to explain to a future compliance officer why data is just sitting around waiting to be subpoenaed in a privacy lawsuit. If it's fake deleted then it's probably pseudo anonymized for internal research. Almost all search engines will forget the data existed over time.
Regarding account deletion...
First things first, when i delete any account i have i make sure to delete everything inside the account first, convos, posts, stories or any type of activity.
I'm in process of deleting my instagram and i already cleaned everything up except the final boss, my story archive, i have never toggled the archiving option off so the archive has accumulated stories for around 8 years, and of course meta won't let you bulk delete the archive.
my question is, does it really matter doing all of that before deleting when it comes to privacy?
or can i just simply ignore the fact that the story archive is still there and delete the account anyway?
I'm not even sure about all the steps that i do but i just do it so everthing feels clean when i arrive to the deletion button.
It should delete that content too. At least as far as any of it is really ever deleted.
If you can, do it through a GDPR deletion request.
my question is, does it really matter doing all of that before deleting when it comes to privacy?
It doesn't hurt to be thorough but FWIW they say it will be deleted:
What happens if I permanently delete my Facebook account?Your profile, photos, posts, videos, and everything else you've added will be permanently deleted. You won't be able to retrieve anything you've added.
Supprimer définitivement votre compte Facebook | Pages d’aide Facebook
Découvrez comment supprimer votre compte Facebook.www.facebook.com
Microsoft merges Windows core engineering teams with Windows client teams in effort to build an agentic OS
Microsoft conducts major Windows reorg in effort to build an agentic OS — brings together core engineering and feature teams
Since 2018, the core of Windows and the client experiences have been handled by separate organizations at Microsoft. That's finally changing this week.Zac Bowden (Windows Central)
Could federated social media networks enhance cooperative behavior between everyone, relative to both insular and massively popular services?
[Derek] When Watts dug deeper, he realized that the network structure did matter. In the more clustered networks, people were more likely
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to copy each other. So if by chance someone started out cooperating, then everyone would cooperate.
30:34
But it was equally likely that someone would start out by defecting, in which case everyone else would defect.
30:40
And over all the games they played, these two effects canceled each other out, which is why it seemed like
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the network structure didn't matter. - [Duncan] It's sort of on a knife edge, right? Where like one person does something selfish
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and everything goes south. In another world, everybody kind of holds it together
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and everything goes well. It's crazy that the world could be like on a knife edge like that, you know,
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could tip one way or the other, kind of just depends on how someone gets out of bed that day.
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But then Watts realized something. See, in real life, you can choose who you hang out with.
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So he reran the experiment allowing players to change who they were playing with. And this time he used the prisoner's dilemma
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so that players could easily identify the defectors. - [Derek] And the finding was clear, the more you allowed players
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to choose who they were playing with, the more likely they were to cooperate
Arbitrary freeze frame for thumbnail purposes:.
- YouTube
Profitez des vidéos et de la musique que vous aimez, mettez en ligne des contenus originaux, et partagez-les avec vos amis, vos proches et le monde entier.www.youtube.com
The Evolution of Trust
an interactive guide to the game theory of why & how we trust each otherncase.me
Nothing prepared me for the child poverty I see in Britain. November’s budget can and must halt its inexorable rise
Nothing prepared me for the child poverty I see in Britain. November’s budget can and must halt its inexorable rise
Homes without heating, bedrooms without beds. If we are to offer any hope to the children of austerity, the next few weeks will be decisive, says former prime minister Gordon BrownGordon Brown (The Guardian)
Chi l’ha Visto?, nuovi documenti inediti su Garlasco: anticipazioni e casi di stasera (1° ottobre 2025)
Chi l’ha visto? Anticipazioni sulla puntata dell’1 ottobre 2025. Che cosa sta succedendo ai ragazzi? Il nuovo appuntamento con Chi l’ha Visto?, condotto da Federica Sciarelli, affronta pericoli della rete e bullismo accanto a tre filoni di cronaca che tornano a far discutere. La puntata è in onda oggi, mercoledì 1° ottobre, alle 21:20 su Rai3.
TUTTE LE ANTICIPAZIONI: Chi l’ha Visto? Nuovi documenti inediti su Garlasco: anticipazioni e casi di stasera (1° ottobre 2025)
Chi l’ha Visto? Anticipazioni 1 ottobre 2025: nuovi documenti su Garlasco e casi in puntata
Chi l’ha Visto? torna stasera alle 21:20 su Rai3: nuovi elementi su Garlasco, il caso Elena Vergari e il mistero di Nicola.Redazione (Atom Heart Magazine)
Iran receives Russian MiG-29 jets, expects more advanced systems, lawmaker says
Russian MiG-29 fighter jets have arrived in Iran as part of a short-term plan to bolster its air force, with more advanced Sukhoi Su-35 aircraft to follow gradually, an Iranian lawmaker said on Tuesday.
Abolfazl Zohrevand, a member of parliament’s national security committee, told domestic media that the delivery of MiG-29s was intended as an interim measure while Tehran awaits the arrival of Su-35s “as a long-term solution.”
“Russian MiG-29 fighter jets have arrived in Iran and are stationed in Shiraz, while Sukhoi Su-35 jets are also on the way,” he said. He also said that China’s HQ-9 air defense system and Russia’s S-400 system were being supplied to Iran “in significant numbers.”
Spain bans transit of US arms shipments to Israel via Rota, Moron bases
Spain prohibited on Monday the transit of US military aircraft and vessels carrying arms, ammunition, or equipment destined for Israel through its bases at Rota (Cadiz) and Moron de la Frontera (Seville), sources familiar with the functioning of the US-Spain Joint Committee confirmed.
“Rota and Moron are not a backdoor,” said the sources, who wanted to stay anonymous, Spanish daily El Pais reported.
The sources stressed that both remain sovereign Spanish bases under Spanish command and that all activity requires Madrid’s authorization.
The move comes as Washington continues to supply the bulk of weaponry used by Israel in its offensive on Gaza, where more than 66,000 people have been killed.
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They've all been in cahoots since the end of world war 2.
The "Western world" is controlled by a handful of white families that own most of the wealth.
Jumping into openSUSE Leap 16
Next Chapter Opens with Leap 16 Release
CA / CS / JA / LT / SV / ES / ZH-TW Members of openSUSE Project are thrilled to announce the release of openSUSE Leap 16. This major version update of our fi...openSUSE News
I had no idea! It seems like it was a really unruly project to manage, but it's a shame to lose the centralization of having one app that can configure anything. I don't see any problem in having package management split off into Myrlyn, but it sounds like Cockpit is much more limited in scope, which is a shame, since handling the edge cases gracefully was what made YaST so useful.
Here's a source for others who didn't realize.
The last of YaST?
The announcement of the openSUSE Leap 16.0 beta contained something of a surprise—along w [...]LWN.net
Smh, you can't just miss the opportunity to say
Leaping into openSUSE Leap 16
Stubsack: weekly thread for sneers not worth an entire post, week ending 5th October 2025 - awful.systems
Want to wade into the sandy surf of the abyss? Have a sneer percolating in your system but not enough time/energy to make a whole post about it? Go forth and be mid: Welcome to the Stubsack, your first port of call for learning fresh Awful you’ll near-instantly regret.
Any awful.systems sub may be subsneered in this subthread, techtakes or no.
If your sneer seems higher quality than you thought, feel free to cut’n’paste it into its own post — there’s no quota for posting and the bar really isn’t that high.
The post Xitter web has spawned soo many “esoteric” right wing freaks, but there’s no appropriate sneer-space for them. I’m talking redscare-ish, reality challenged “culture critics” who write about everything but understand nothing. I’m talking about reply-guys who make the same 6 tweets about the same 3 subjects. They’re inescapable at this point, yet I don’t see them mocked (as much as they should be)Like, there was one dude a while back who insisted that women couldn’t be surgeons because they didn’t believe in the moon or in stars? I think each and every one of these guys is uniquely fucked up and if I can’t escape them, I would love to sneer at them.
(Credit and/or blame to David Gerard for starting this.)
Elon Musk announces "Grokipedia", which is exactly what it sounds like.
for article in wikipedia: grok.is_this_true(article)
The Gizmodo story mentions that he retweeted Larry Sanger, but it doesn't dive into the rabbit hole of just how much of a kook Sanger is and how badly his would-be Wikipedia competitors have failed.
Elon Musk's Wikipedia Competitor Is Going to Be a Disaster
Remember when Grok praised Adolf Hitler?Matt Novak (Gizmodo)
In today’s torment nexus development news… you know how various cyberpunky type games let you hack into an enemy’s augmentations and blow them up? Perhaps you thought this was stupid and unrealistic, and you’d be right.
Maybe that’s the wrong example. How about a cursed evil ring that when you put it on, you couldn’t take it off and it wracks you with pain? Who hasn’t wanted one of those?
Happily, hard working torment nexus engineers have brought that dream one step closer, by having “smart rings”, powered by lithium polymer batteries. Y’know, the things that can go bad, and swell up and catch fire? And that you shouldn’t puncture, because that’s a fire risk too, meaning cutting the ring off is somewhat dangerous? Fun times abound!
bsky.app/profile/emily.gorcen.…
::: spoiler image description
A pair of tweets, containing the text
Daniel aka ZONEofTECH on x.com: “Ahhh…this is…not good. My Samsung Galaxy Ring’s battery started swelling. While it’s on my finger 😬. And while I’m about to board a flight 😬 Now I cannot take it off and this thing hurts. Any quick suggestionsUpdate:
- I was denied boarding due to this (been travelling for ~47h straight so this is really nice 🙃). Need to pay for a hotel for the night now and get back home tomorrow👌
- was sent to the hospital, as an emergency
- ring got removed
You can see the battery all swollen. Won’t be wearing a smart ring ever again.
:::
Google is blocking AI searches for Trump and dementia
Google is blocking AI searches for Trump and dementia
Google does not show AI search results for the query “does trump show signs of dementia” even though it will show AI search results for similar searches about other presidents.Jay Peters (The Verge)
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Forget the spokesperson, just ask Google AI directly:
AI on Google Search, including the AI Overviews in search, does not provide summaries on topics involving Donald Trump and dementia. This is due to risk aversion, sensitivity to political topics, and recent legal challenges. Instead, these searches return a list of traditional web links.Reasons for the lack of response
- Risk of misinformation: AI-generated conclusions about a public figure's health could spread misinformation. The mental acuity of Donald Trump and President Joe Biden, the oldest presidents in U.S. history, is a topic of public discussion.
- Avoiding political sensitivity: AI models often have restrictions on sensitive or controversial topics to avoid biased responses. Google and other tech companies are cautious about how their AI products respond to election-related or partisan queries.
- Legal history with Trump: Google's handling of Trump-related content may be influenced by recent legal and political issues. In 2025, Google paid a $24.5 million settlement in a lawsuit related to the suspension of Trump's YouTube account.
- Inconsistent application of AI summaries: Some users report that searches about other politicians, like Barack Obama or Joe Biden, may return an AI-generated response, though this varies. This inconsistency has led to criticism that the AI applies selective censorship.
Google's statement
A Google spokesperson stated that AI Overview and AI Mode do not always show answers to all queries, especially sensitive or complex ones. The company suggests that users rely on traditional search results in such cases.
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Instead, these searches return a list of traditional web links.
"Oh...oh okay. So you know what that is. Why are unable to provide traditional web links for ALL my searches? Because, I'm gonna be honest with you Google. I never asked for you to 'summarize' my web results and the fact that you can turn it off at your discretion tells me that you could turn it off for everyone."
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We need to concern ourselves with what the corporations do.
Who gives a shit how they explain themselves?
Once the corps do something egregiously bad, we should not ask for an explanation. We should insist they change how they behave. Period.
So you're saying that we should do more AI searches for "Trump Dementia"
... and use variations of it like ... "Trump old losing his mind", "Trump old senile", "Trump dementia don", "Donny Dementia", "Ding Dong Dementia Donny Trump"
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"what does dementia look like in 47th presidents"
Works good, search gets the wink and nudge.
also works if you replace "trump" with "the president of the usa" in your search:
edit: it seems like it's inserting Biden into the prompt in the background now...
Wtf, confirmed. Ask about any person, any president on if they have dementia or not and it'll answer
Ask about trump and it refused to interact, just dumps a search results window with funnily enough the first result being a page about how Google is censoring this
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The incentives don't allow for this shit in an organization like Google. They can only respond to stock price and earnings.
Very likely someone back channeled a demand and they folded like a deck of cards.
So the team responsible for that AI box added Trump dementia to the list of things it won't respond to.
The team responsible for the news bits didn't get the request so that just shows up in its place.
True for the organization as a whole, but a pissed off engineer or two could have done it, and the people above them are just leaning on "it's the algorithm" since they don't agree with the censorship either.
I'm sure the C Suite will step in and make them change it but it takes time for them to address the issue.
I'm not saying that's what is going on, but I've witnessed my own department head pull similar tricks, albeit his tricks weren't as high stakes as this would be.
For fucks sake! Who really cares what Google’s shitty AI does? You can still search articles written by actual human beings. Has AI become so fundamental to our daily routine that we’re going to upset ourselves over what info the sleazeballs that created it allow it to produce?
Maybe try reading real information?
Oh so youre saying that AI companies can control what the AI says?
So meta letting their AI sext with children was intentional then...
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Kagi uses Bing as its primary search index AFAIK, so no Google search API there.
That said, it does run entirely on Google Cloud Services, which I personally find ironic.
So what your saying is it doesn't rely on just one but two massive corps to actually deliver it's product which is ment to be an alterative to those very products?
Kek
Kagi's summaries are great.
They're hidden by default, requiring you to click the button first. They don't extrapolate too much. And their sources will be the exact same links you got from the search.
The post is likely referring to a long-standing controversy around Brendan Eich, the founder and CEO of Brave (the browser and search engine company). In 2008, Eich donated $1,000 to support California's Proposition 8, a ballot measure that banned same-sex marriage (later overturned by courts). This came to light in 2014 when he was briefly appointed CEO of Mozilla, leading to widespread backlash from employees, users, and activists who viewed it as anti-LGBTQ+. Eich resigned from Mozilla after just 11 days amid the outcry, expressing regret for causing pain but not fully recanting his views.
Some people, including in the LGBTQ+ community and allies, continue to avoid or criticize Brave on these grounds, seeing it as support for leadership with historically discriminatory stances. This isn't a "new" issue in 2025—it's tied to events from over a decade ago—but it persists in discussions about ethical tech choices. Brave has faced other unrelated controversies (e.g., ad practices), but this one specifically relates to anti-LGBT perceptions.
For more details:
- [Wikipedia on Brendan Eich](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brendan_Eich)
- [Article on the Mozilla controversy](https://www.osnews.com/story/27646/the-new-mozilla-ceos-political-past-is-imperiling-his-present/)
- [Recent discussion on Brave controversies](https://www.reddit.com/r/browsers/comments/1j1pq7b/list_of_brave_browser_controversies/)
- https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43300333well fuck! brave is the one browser that fits all my needs.
i disagree. Google's results went to shit for me years ago. the first page was literally just ads, sponsored links that had nothing to do with my search or looked like what i was looking for but were phishing/malware sites, regular results that were less about what i searched and more about what google found more appropriate for me.
i started to use duckduckgo despite its incredibly stupid name and it's just like old times for me. except now it has AI assist which you can turn off or set how often you want to see it.
two things that helped sell me DDG was bangs and DDG browser. i got used to using DDG browser as default on mobile except for things i wanted to have persistent sessions on, which are very rare it turns out. bangs also help you directly search specific sites or even google in the unlikely event i would want to try to search that monstrosity instead. if you search for something and you don't find what you want and want to try Google instead, just add !g to the search and it directs you to Google search instead. !gi for Google images.
there are tons of other bangs, like !w for Wikipedia and !imdb for... you'll never guess but i use it sometimes.
Kagi.
The downside is that it costs $10 per month.
The upside is:
- Privacy first
- You can pin websites to the top of results, promote them so they appear higher, demote them so they appear lower, or have them completely removed
- Lenses - quickly tell Kagi what type of results you want (News sources, academic articles, forum posts, programming sites, small web, etc.)
- Snaps - search shortcuts kinda like bangs. Eg, typing
@wis the same as typingsite:wikipedia.com - An actual good AI summary. Completely unobtrusive - only activated when you press the button, doesn't overextrapolate your request, and will only source the same results that you get from the search
- Direct image results
When I first migrated a couple years ago, it was a bit worse than Google but pretty close. Nowadays, I find it to be much much better. It's honestly close to how Google was back in 2015 before they made it garbage.
TIL there are extensions to automatically expand abbreviations in Firefox
https://www.perplexity.ai/search/extension-that-automatically-e-Yxr0E2NcSgyyssLO6O4hwg
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Sulfur Hexafluoride: The Nightmare Greenhouse Gas That’s Just Too Useful To Stop Using
Sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) is not nearly as infamous as CO2, with the latter getting most of the blame for anthropogenic climate change. Yet while measures are being implemented to curb the release …Hackaday
In electrical distribution, there are plenty of alternatives, I've worked with electrical utilities for a little. In that city, most residential transformers and some legacy switchgear (some up to 80 years old) use mineral oil. In the 90s SF6 switchgear was common to be installed, but the current models of medium-voltage switchgear have neither. And some modern commercial alternatives are appearing for transformer winding isolation and coolant.
The issue comes with higher-voltage switching, such as at substations. If you want to use air separation there, then you'll need lots and lots of space between to prevent arcing. Since that is not always achievable, that's where vacuums or agents like SF6 are used instead.
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For unauthorized scrapers? Definitely
For paid API usage? That tends to not be public for obvious reasons but, allegedly, people have, allegedly, done tests and found "deleted" content in the results.
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Version control mother fucker, do you speak it?
But, in all seriousness: That is what they use for the comments. It is why a lot of the mass delete tools were "accidentally" undone during The Exodus. Because it was literally just rolling back. Theoretically there might be a limited number of revisions available but if you believe that I have a bridge to sell you. Because imagine if A Brown Person wrote a message then edited it five times so that Chloe couldn't alert Jack Bauer to who to torture
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Ive heard the same but I haven't seen real evidence anywhere, so im skeptical. But yes I agree, if they CAN get that data, it means the training data is better-ish....
But we are still on this site for a reason 😀
I mean... if the reason you left is because you didn't want your data scraped then... the fediverse is one of the worst places to go? Because anyone can run a modified lemmy instance to pull everything through the tools specifically designed to do that.
Let alone just scraping websites that don't have teams of big corporate lawyers.
Huh.
Does anyone else think that ChatGPT is still using the data, they’re just not referencing Reddit directly?
This is how you can tell Reddit’s $200+/share price is insane. Over 10% of its value dropped based on a different unprofitable company’s references to ingested content.
Yikes!!
While I don't agree with the reddit valuation to begin with...
that is actually how the stock market "should" work? Reddit is a company that, at its core, produces data to sell to other companies. If other companies choose to (say they are not going to) use that data, then the value of reddit drops. That is literally supply and demand.
If Stanley's Sprockets' sprockets are a vital part of iphones then Stanley's Sprockets is going to be a very valuable company. If Apple changes to the other dude's product, Stanley's Sprockets has now lost a lot of value.
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The ads/manipulation does a thing that helps you attain profit or power. You want to manipulate what people see and pay for... so you pay reddit to allow you to mass deploy bots bypassing moderator levers. They have the community, you have the objective, you pay for the help of doing this and they probably have their own bot farms included.
They can even internally flag these entries as bots and use their AI partnerships to analyze what works on users and what doesn't to trigger a specific response, and to avoid using techniques that get called out as bots.
They have their public 'sponsored' content, but I promise for big spenders they have a program that has no sponsorship callout. They probably brand it with nice fancy marketing terminology that makes it sound like you're an angel doing god's work by driving conversions or some stupid shit.
no actual path to profitablity
You don't think reddit can make money from advertising?
The people in power don’t care about people with a few shares. You can sell all your shares right now and nobody would notice.
Reddit’s power benefits whomever wants to push an agenda and a narrative while minimizing any info that could counter that.
Companies pay for API access so profits go up and stock value go up.
I assume the reddit stock doesn't pay dividends based on profits. But if you bought for 10 dollars and now it is 500 dollars? You can sell some of that stuck to people hoping it will go up to 1000 dollars for a solid profit. And so forth.
And if it DOES pay dividends (some kinds of stocks do) then a percentage of those profits are directly sent to the share holders based on how many shares they have.
see any return in their investment short of managing to sell the stock for more than they bought it
So... it is a stock that doesn't pay dividends? Like... that is what stocks are.
Homie? I assume you are just looking to hear "reddit bad" and... it is.
But if you are actually attempting to discuss things in good faith? You are just describing stocks and you should REALLY educate yourself on the subject if you ever intend to invest beyond retirement and mutual funds... which most people shouldn't in the first place but that is an even bigger tangent.
I am looking at it froma purely financial standpoint. The inky thing Reddit really produces is semi-anonymous data that is tied to an email address. The quality of that data is iffy at best, while they have massive expenses just to keep the site operating. They can charge for their API calls, but they will never be able to use that to generate actual profit since no one will ever pay for it at that price point.
Something like Reddit or twitter are useful if they are owned by powerful individuals or corporations that wish to influence the public. It is worthless as a strictly financial vehicle because it produces no profit and has assets that are not not equal to the cost of maintain them. You would only buy stock in reddit in the hopes that some billionaire thinks they can do a better job running it than Elon Musk did with twitter. Otherwise reddit stock is just a volatile place to park your cash in the hope that you can sell it for more later.
Which takes me back to my original comment about the kitten stomping factory. It gives value to a select group of people with a specific aim, but it is worthless as an investment vehicle because it owns little, produces nothing, and has massive liabilities. If you want to exert power and influence, it's useful. If you only care about making money, it's useless. People who buy and sell stock are mostly only interested in making money.
I am looking at it froma purely financial standpoint.
Then let's do that.
Reddit has three official and one implied revenue streams.
Of the official, we have:
Ad sales. This is where most "user data" actually comes into play and is the idea of building a profile of each user that can be used to put them into categories for targeted ads. That might be a simple as "likes video games, hates women, curious about learning to pee while sitting down". Or it might be "doesn't realize that guy at the bar took off the condom and is now pregnant". This is demonstrably profitable and doesn't seem to be effected.
The next is people buying reddit premium because they are idiots.
The last official oneis the actual topic of this thread. Reddit sells API access to, among others, companies training LLMs. ChatGPT has, allegedly, stopped using them. Thus, one of their major sources of revenue dried up and their stock dropped as a result.
As for the rest:
Otherwise reddit stock is just a volatile place to park your cash in the hope that you can sell it for more later.
Ah, so you DO know what the definition of a stock is. You just refuse to accept it because the word "reddit" is involved.
The vast majority of stocks are horrible to even consider purchasing as an individual. A general rule of thumb is the only ones you should even consider buying are those with dividends where you just buy a few shares and every couple years check your investment account and transfer the excess to your savings.
The rest you rely entirely on mutual funds (and similar). Where the idea is that an investment group has a large pool of money and they try to stay ahead of minor fluctuations and often outright bet against themselves. So you might have some funds earmarked at assuming reddit will go up and other funds that take the Oracle announcement as a hint that OpenAI spending on Reddit might decrease and sell the stocks ahead of time to buy shares in coca cola instead or whatever.
But the thing to understand is that that is happening to basically every single stock. Because the fundamental idea of the stock market is about leaving others holding the bag.
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Which is also generally very detectable (if you actually care) and is generally used to push (monetized) social media and not the answer to "what is the difference between normal and merino wool?" and so forth.
The vast majority of the "user" interaction and memes is not the product (at play. it IS useful for societal manipulation but there are better platforms for that). It is all those useful questions and answers that people get pissy about folk deleting the answers to.
Because people, generally, weren't searching for team edward or jacob reddit but instead the fuck is a renesme reddit or LED versus fluourescent bulbs reddit and so forth. And the community labeling of the latter is generally REALLY good.
Things DO get messy when the question becomes best synthetic boxer briefs reddit but... it is incredibly rare for an astro turfing campaign to be strong enough to get a genuinely bad product "on top". You tend to just get an overly expensive branded white label in the top slot which may actually be identical to the "real" best one anyway. But considering you are relying on human opinion regardless, that isn't far off of what you were gonna get without said astroturfing.
There are absolutely vote manipulation campaigns still happening.
See this from 12 days ago: old.reddit.com/r/privacy/comme…
12 days ago almost every top-level comment was below -50 and responses were untouched.
As a user of the website for many years it's entirely obvious that a majority of the website is gamed (besides its niche corners). Reddit's bot prevention mechanisms just fuck VPN users - they are wholly inadequate.
That thread is evidence of a organized bot campaign that they had 12 days to clean up (and didn't). It's naive to believe that the rest of the website isn't similarly (and less obviously) affected by bots - with vote manipulation still standing.
Are you somebody invested financially in Reddit? Genuine question.
Those niche subreddits can also have their moments, too. Maybe it's not bots, but there are plenty of shills that have been caught in various niche subreddits I've frequented over the years (thanks to unpaid moderators).
No, I'm not. I don't care at all if they're successful or go under.
Sure, but again it's not likely to be most. You don't seem to realize how hard it is to get data that is already classified. That stuff is gold to people developing AI. Most of the work in data science is cleaning data and getting it into a usable form.
It's noise, a very large part of it. Reddit is financially motivated to make the data appear as if it is signal. It isn't - they have taken extremely minimal steps to ensure actual human participation.
This doesn't matter to AI companies, but it only warps that technology more and more. AI is a sinking ship with current methodologies. Reddit will die when the AI bubble bursts and those involved with Reddit already cashed out enough to be filthy rich.
If you can land me a gig engaging with back end data from Reddit in a neutral capacity, it'd likely be pretty easy for a layman like me to confirm that it's largely noise. The AI companies buying data are getting scammed and you are free to remain neutral or plainly disagree with my assessment in the absence of concrete data that is publicly obtainable.
No company is immune to bots and inorganic engagement, least of all Reddit with the strategies employed.
Reddit is presumably the only party with the ability to determine which data/interaction is truly legitimate or isn't.
I have a mostly neutral opinion on AI/LLMs, but I have a negative assessment of the companies driving it unsustainably. They are able to pay big money because AI is where money is flowing. When these actors crash the economy with their hubris, please write back to me - maybe I won't seem so weird at that point.
Meta/OpenAI openly pirating everything they can to train their LLMs is a good example of how data hungry these AI/etc. companies are.
Is it plausible that companies request that Reddit narrows down data e.g. by demographic, geographic location, or likelihood of being a real person and request that data for purchase? Sure, but the LLMs seemingly require all data that exists that these companies can get their hands on - I highly doubt with the scale of data being consumed (and data theft being committed) that the big players care too much about Reddit data being tainted. If anything, it might even be desirable to them.
Yes, but Oracle's stock skyrocketed based on the unprofitable OpenAI promising to buy >100B worth of AI data center space from Oracle. Nvidia stock also surged on the news, since Oracle builds those data centers with Nvidia chips
Obviously OpenAI doesn't have the money to pay Oracle themselves, so Nvidia has helpfully given them the money
So now we have an incredibly large cyclic corporate dependency of money from Nvidia -> OpenAI -> Oracle, then back to Nvidia. Definitely not a financial disaster waiting to happen
They haven't even spent the fucking money yet. It's just announcements of intentions, with a fraction of that $100B in outlays. Nobody seems to want to say who gets to be the one holding the $100B at the end of it, either.
Presumably they'll all just do a stock swap and tell their vendors "We're good for it, check's in the mail"?
This is how you can tell Reddit’s $200+/share price is insane.
Well, that and the P/E is 180. Typical target P/E on a stock is 15-20, depending on your anticipation of its growth. But we're expected to believe Reddit's earnings will be 9x their current income in... some nebulous amount of time?
Like, its silly to get excited about a company this hyperinflated seeing a tiny slide off its new peak. But also, you can't help be bearish on a firm this flimsy.
The entire stock market has become a meme stock pyramid scheme. No price makes sense; it's all glorified gambling making life on this planet worse for most living things.
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Oh no!
Anyways what's everyone having for lunch? I'm having bean burritos.
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What other kinds of burrito would you recommend besides bean burrito?
Try chorizo, potato and scrambled eggs sometime.
Absolutely kickass breakfast burrito, get real chorizo tho
Try chorizo, potato and scrambled eggs sometime.
That's awful greasy for someone who has the flu.
Well, I said "try ... sometime", but also... greasy foods are to be particularly avoided when one has a flu?
I... its not that I don't believe that is a thing that does or could make sense, I've just never heard of that before.
Also, you can prepare chorizo, potatoes and scrambled eggs in ways that are not as greasy, sure they are still greasier than many other things, but you don't have to do it in maybe, typical street vendor or highly rapid restaurant fashion, with grease dripping out like a cheap pizza slice at a bar.
Well, I said “try … sometime”, but also… greasy foods are to be particularly avoided when one has a flu?
health.osu.edu/wellness/exerci…
Foods to avoid when you have the flu
Oddly enough, some foods may make your flu symptoms worse – or better – without you ever realizing it. Learn what to eat and avoid when you have the flu from an Ohio State expert.Kacie Vavrek MS, RD, CSSD (The Ohio State University)
Oh my god I somehow forgot that Reddit IPO8ng means I get to read stories like this.
Oh no, the world's most poorly managed and funded corporate social media website's with a publically traded stock is tanking, oh nooooo!
Ahahahah!
Reddit banned me today for making a joke that the patch title for Guild Wars 2 could match real life events.
What is the patch name?
The Mad King and his Lunatic Court.
Permanently banned for what?
Harassment.
That's what pandering to the bigger techbros spez gets.
Being there stopped being fun ever since the shits started running a massive profile-and-purge program powered by fucking AI, as even casually mentioning violence against right-wingers or POTUS and his merry chucklefucks gets your account flagged for banning. That's why there's now a chilling effect.
finance.yahoo.com/news/reddit-…
Yeah, and it aged hard like milk.
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I got my reddit ban for replying to someone in world news. Their comment was saying spain should declare war on israel. I forget why, this before the flotilla though.
I got banned for saying that was unlikely as israel is a nuclear power.
you dont even have to mention anything you can just get banned for creating a new account, or firing up an years old account, since they will consider those as bots. it happens randomly though. so much so, the shadowban sub had so many of these bans because they got banned for little reason.(besides the one that have multiple accounts get shadowbanned).
they started limiting the amount of time the shadowban questions stay open to silence any discussion of it.
no OP.
I got the F out and deleted my old posts every time they restored them until they stayed gone.
I suggested drawing in chalk on the street outside of the governor's mansion, to protest the GIANT chalk Christ she had commissioned across the driveway to celebrate Easter one year.
It wasn't even a serious call to action.
But I was more wondering about the "sprich deutsch" Part - that's usually more of a racist thing, and therefore right wing politics. But if you don't see public transport as political you might be right-wing overall?
...are we now just connecting things to put everyone in right corner?
God i hate online people...
Guess being against corperates, for self reliance, public owner ship, pro a european state and untouchable democracy, and so on, is now "right wing".
"Sprich deutsch" in litterly ich_iel is litterly the norm! Thats the joke! Everything is worded german. Guess such is now "right wing".
"Everything is politics" omfg. Yeah nah. Thats enought Internet for this month, and it only started. Crazy!
bro just skipped the "usually" part and made a rant against things being judged politically.
I think the "everything has to be written in German" part of ich_iel is also establishing a rather nationalist online culture through linguistic homogeny and illegibility to outsiders. So, yeah, you may not want to recognize the impact your words may have, but it's clear to many others.
I still think it builds an attitude that is toxic to outsiders and can potentially push someone into a right-wing position. I have witnessed first hand how someone fell down a fascist rabbit hole via online places touting language superiority.
Mine was telling someone it was unlikely that spain would declare war on israel, it being a nuclear nation....
Banned for 'glorifying violence.'
i think people were shocked that all thier accounts were banned simulataneously, despite some of them not participating in the same subs, around the same time. they just went after every account in your ip address,device or browser. even if time has passed that a subreddit ban has been lifted in your old accounts. the site filters/AI doesnt take that into account, and i suspect its intentional.
i noticed reddit is very wary of browser forks now too(google, firefox forks), theres a reason they dont like brave(because it hides your fingerprints by default)
deleting your account also wont stop them from finding your new accounts, they mostly archived that as well. they look at browser fingerprinting, device, device components, time zone discrepancy, browser size and VERSION, resolution,,,etc. if you use any paid service/trial service that can spoof any of these above and they arnt the correct versions, they can detect that.
and then theres the warming up period with new accounts(like not posting, reporting, or upvoting too fast after account creation)
Right, and if the moderation allows Nazi ideology to run rampant, you have a Nazi town. Especially when it's all mostly bots spewing Nazi talking points anyway.
Refusing to fight hate speech is tantamount to supporting it.
Does Reddit stock pay dividends or offer shareholder voting? Is most of it at least hell by their owners, giving at least a financial interest to having its value affected? Then it might as well be Yet Another Crypto Scam, in which case it isn't really going to affect Reddit because they've probably already cashed out.
What people don't realize is that the stock market is largely based off of on speculation on who's going to buy or sell when, the articles that tie it directly to how the company performing are basically fortune tellers either telling their customers what they want to hear or catering to their customers by manipulating how their readers will behave.
People use belief in the value of money to illustrate how crypto has value. The stock market is a far better analogy, and there are plenty of confidence scams to go along with it as well.
That's actually quite easy to explain. Reddits entire monetary value (or at least a very large portion) depends on how relevant it is as platform to mine user interactions - to use as training material for AI.
Reddit getting references less is a sign that the models, or the owning companies, value reddit data less compared to before.
You just described most tech stocks.
As Cory Doctrow explains:
the fundamental duty of every CEO of every high-growth tech company: explaining how his company will continue to grow. These growth stories are key, because growth stocks trade at a huge premium relative to the stocks of "mature" companies.
The fact that any AI company thought to train their LLM on the answers of Reddit users speaks to a fundamental misunderstanding of their own product (IMO)
LLMs aren't programmed to give you the correct answer. They're programmed to give you the most pervasive/popular answer on the assumption that most of the time that will also happen to be the right one.
So when you're getting your knowledge base from random jackasses on Reddit, where a good faith question like "What's the best way to get get gum out of my childs hair" get's two two good faith answers, and then a few dozen smart-ass answers that gets lots of replies and upvotes because they're funny. Guess which one your LLM is going to use.
People (and apparently even the creators themselves) think that an LLM is actually cognizent enough to be able to weed this out logically. But it can't. It's not an intelligence...it's a knowlege agreggator. And as with any aggregator, the same rule applies
garbage in, garbage out
Thats why I have stopped calling it ai. Its a dumbass buzzword just like cloud, that tech bros like to use but cant explain (or blockchain).
Its llms, and image generators/OCR (which has been around for decades), Using complex markov chains and a fuck ton of graphics cards. NOT AI. NOT AI.
I've had to start calling it AI because most people don't know what LLMs are, and noone cares to go through the explanation, including myself.
I'm afraid that, as these things go, AI has gained a new meaning by popular use, rather than the original meaning of the acronym.
No point fighting it anymore.
Maybe we just need to adjust and start saying GAI (generative ai). It has a nice ring to it too.
It is AI, along with a bunch of optimization algorithms, statistical decision trees (probably used in adaptive AI in games), etc. AI is a field in computer science that includes a ton of things many wouldn't consider AI.
Basically, if the solution doesn't come from direct commands but instead comes from some form of learning process, it's probably AI.
It's not "general AI", but it is in the field of AI.
I would argue we need to go back to Machine Learning.
The field is machine learning, generative machine learning etc.
This rebrand to AI is doing nothing but confusing people and building investor hype
Also fair.
I find the term machine learning more honest than artificial intelligence
It's more specific, sure, but there's nothing dishonest about using the same terminology that has been used for almost 100 years.
The disconnect is that average people have a different understanding of the term than is used in computer science, probably because of sci-fi films and whatnot. When I hear "AI," I think of the CS term, because that's my background, but when my family hears "AI," they think of androids and whatnot like in Bicentennial Man.
I don't know how to square that circle. Neither group here is wrong, but classifying something like ChatGPT as "AI," while correct, is misinterpreted by the public, who assume it's doing more than it is.
Exactly that.
If I were to google how to get gum out of my child's hair and then be directed to that same reddit post. I'd read through it and be pretty sure which were jokes and which were serious; we make such distinctions, as you say, every day without much effort.
LLMs simply don't have that ability. And the number of average people who just don't get that is mind-boggling to me.
I also find it weirdly dystopian that, if you sum that up, it kind of makes it sound like in order for an LLM to make the next step towards A.I. It needs a sense of humour. It needs the ability to weed through when the information it's digging from is serious, or just random jack-asses on the internet.
Which is turning it into a very very Star Trek problem.
Character designs
Taiwan refuses to move half of U.S.-bound chip production to American shores — trade discussion to be focused on Section 232 investigation for preferential deal on semiconductors
Taiwan refuses to move half of U.S.-bound chip production to American shores — trade discussion to be focused on Section 232 investigation for preferential deal on semiconductors
It wants to focus on tariffs instead of where it makes its chips.Jowi Morales (Tom's Hardware)
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The idea behind that fab was so US can continue to build weapons if Taiwan was under attack, this why it wasn't the latest technology. The weapons would still be important to defend it, but yeah this admin is signalling Taiwan won't get help and is asking for 50% so it won't suffer consequences of not helping them.
They also seem very dumb if they think they could spin 50% just like that even if Taiwan was completely on board with this.
Yeah, I think the whole idea of the US wanting the chips produced inside its own borders makes sense in a vacuum. China fucks around (which, sure, is against their character), chips are safe.
Obviously we don't live in a vacuum, and the US diplomatic mission is, at best, totally unreadable, and at worst, won't help anyone but itself.
As with just about any other nation, the US is using what is ostensibly it's only bargaining chip these days, their massive consumerism, knowing that Taiwan sells the majority of its chips to the US.
This play seems to be Trump's only play: Demand something outrageous, with some thinly veiled threats overlaying the demand. Get rejected. Receive counterproposal that is far, far less than initial demand. Tout superiority.
Good. It was a naked attempt at a shakedown, and also 100% a bluff.
It takes more than a few years to spin up a chip fab, with an outlay on the order of hundreds of billions to trillions of dollars. Even if they'd been eager to take the US up on the deal (and why would they want to relinquish a functional monopoly on cutting end processors?), there's no way they'd be dealing with the same administration by the time it was completed. Even if Trump was still in office, the fucker changes his mind every five minutes. Not conducive to long-term economic projects like this.
Now is emphatically not the time to undermine their strategic defense policy, which largely revolves around “if the CCP invades, we will melt our chip fabs to slag”.
TSMC won't have their edge forever. China's fabs are catching up quickly, with 5nm chips in production and 3nm chips possible in a few more years. This was a good strategy when China needed to import these chips and Taiwan had the market cornered. But if TSMC's rigged-to-explode labs go up in smoke after China's a major player in the market, that actually benefits Beijing.
Strapping yourself with Semtex might be a savvy play in a single moment, but it's not going to work long term.
That's before you consider the real threat Taiwan poses to China is as a launchpad for US strikes into the interior.
Oh I know - but I’m saying they should halt efforts now, because they’ve been going on for several years (I think close to 4-5?) at this point.
I was also under the impression that Mainland was still meaningfully behind the cutting edge, that TSMC was absolutely not resting on their laurels, and that the prospect of the CCP fabs fully catching up isn’t super likely. Out of curiosity, do you have any references/articles about recent ~~CSMC~~SMIC/etc lithography advancements?
The Chinese state industries have been happy enough to throw big chunks of their GDP at the problem of high end chip fab, and it's paying dividends.
That's not to say TSMC is idle, but the whole problem of living on the bleeding edge is that you've got nobody to crib from. All your next-gen advances have to be earned through high end R&D and brute force engineering and lots of money and time. Their rivals can reverse engineer their technology, learn from TSMC's mistakes, and generally coast in their wake.
What's sort of incredibly about America's Intel is that they haven't done any of this shit, clinging to their dead-end chip design long after its expiration date and missing the boom in demand for high end chips entirely.
Out of curiosity, do you have any references/articles about recent CSMC/etc lithography advancements?
Nothing you couldn't just Google up yourself, I'm sure. I picked up SMIC based on their advances in DUV lithography employed by ASML and it paid out big. The high margins on sale are justifying comparatively lower success rates of manufacturing.
Interesting, thanks. And yeah, I too find it utterly baffling at how Intel is turning into a has-been before our eyes. They were The Chip Guys for ages, and then the fucking quants got put in charge and carved away so much of the engineering leadership and underpinnings that it’s a husk of what it was in the 80s and 90s.
I would, however, point out that TSMC’s whole deal is “define, and produce at scale, the bleeding edge of integrated circuit designs”, so the bit about them cribbing off of people hasn’t really been a variable in their equations for at least a couple decades. They have been major (arguably, the predominant) pioneers in chip lithography for a while now.
so the bit about them cribbing off of people hasn’t really been a variable in their equations for at least a couple decades
That's meant to say they can't do that from the front of the pack. There's not much to crib from that they don't invent.
That's a burden on TMSC that guys like Samsung and SMIC don't suffer from, at least until they can match pace. For the time being, other firms can close in on TMSC by following in their footsteps (or, at least, avoiding their errors).
What’s sort of incredibly about America’s Intel is that they haven’t done any of this shit, clinging to their dead-end chip design long after its expiration date and missing the boom in demand for high end chips entirely.
This is the most baffling thing to me. How could Intel leadership be so incompetent? They had the inside track to hundreds of billions in revenue and just decided to coast.
How could Intel leadership be so incompetent?
For the leadership, it was a cash cow. They got a fat dividend doing very little, even as upstarts blasted past them.
They had the inside track to hundreds of billions in revenue and just decided to coast.
At some point, the effort to get from $10B to $100B isn't worth the pressure. How many extra yachts do I actually need?
Your points are exactly why it is surprising. Most executives don't think like me and you. If you give them a million dollars, they say they need 10 million. If you give them a billion dollars, they say they need 10 billion. There is no end to their greed. Look at how Google and Amazon are still trying to strong-arm their industries to get even more billions of dollars. Musk is out there demanding a trillion dollars.
CEOs and execs at large multinational corps like Intel don't usually coast. They might make strategic blunders, but they usually push to make as much money as they can. If they fail, they fall back on their golden parachutes. If they win, they get shitloads more money.
If you give them a million dollars, they say they need 10 million.
Sure. If you show up with a bag of money, they're going to tell you they need two bags.
But if you ask them to work twice as hard to get that second bag? Suddenly, you're asking too much.
CEOs and execs at large multinational corps like Intel don’t usually coast.
They do. They're just not the companies people get excited about. Tons of US business is conducted by C-levels who are barely more than figureheads, commanding massive salaries to glad hands a few friends in between golf games.
Steve Balmer is the out layer. Sam Alton is the out layer. Elon Musk is the norm.
Your points are exactly why it is surprising. Most executives don't think like me and you. If you give them a million dollars, they say they need 10 million. If you give them a billion dollars, they say they need 10 billion.
I think hidden in there is a misconception about capitalism, that its about competition and being the best. While its a nice myth for grade school civics about why we are capitalist its just not the case. Capitalism is about profit. As long as you have it and its growing you are doing well. Intel did get very complacent, but it was still projected to grow and be profitable.
China has the engineering talent and numbers to catch up for certain, but SMIC is not producing advanced chips in volumes, even as designs for next gens of chips and SMIC technology come out fast.
The big factor in all of this is that the market for chips in China is 5x+ that of US, and the business interests of anyone in the sector outside of China would be to choose China over US if they only had to pick one. US IP is going to expire soon enough, but is already abused for colonial power over global chip sector.
China is definitely at a mature point where home grown chips can already compete in phones/laptops (Huawei) and AI due to their energy infrastructure. They don't need to invade Taiwan to have useful electronics, and the home grown industry will accelerate faster than West's. While TSMC's margin of leadership will narrow, they will still be ahead for more than 5 years.
What? Taiwan doesn't want to give up its only strategic advantage? I'm shocked.
/uj
I'm curious how long it would take to build the supply chains and fabs to make the 50% things a reality.
Gee, I wonder why other countries would not want to move production to the US after ICE arrested the Koreans who were doing exactly that?
No way to know, I guess.
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It's quite interesting that no other country has managed to build a chip foundry that would even remotely rival TSMC.
Especially considering they use third-party lithography machines.
Not that they must do it, just a consideration.
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Hey, why don't you give us the one thing that protects you and floats your economy?
Just do it!
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"Give up your only bargaining chip otherwise we'll hurt you!"
Hmm wonder where I've seen this before...
ahem Russia-Ukraine ahem
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It probably would have been on the table if Kamala had won.
I mean, the democrats just had to have a primary, put in a populist and watch Trump get buried.
Instead we have this.
I mean sure but they're also more likely to agree to give America all their resources, factories, and land, and launch kamikazee attacks against mainland China until their population is expended under a dem president than Trump.
Either has a likelihood of approximately zero because it literally only benefits the US at the expense of Taiwan, and the US influence of its puppet government is only so strong, we still need to contend with local politics.
Because the Trump administration has proven itself to be dishonest and willing to go back on past agreements.
I’m not sure you’re aware the reputation America has given itself.
And why would anyone expect Taiwan to give on this? They don’t benefit at all.
Art of the deal my ass.
Yeah, that only worked on small contractors when he was building his casinos because they didn’t have the infinite Russian money for lawyers.
Turns out that doesn’t work so well on sovereign nations and international corporations.
Isn't it already failing anyway? en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TSMC_Ari…
Edit: arguable, I have no expertise in fab building so hard for me to say if the deviations from the initial plan have meaningful impact. Also my understanding is that it's as much an economical partnership as a political one, namely intertwining Taiwan with the US. It's kind of weakening the "silicon shield" but also create interdependence.
The Democrats Finally Grew a Spine
The Democrats Finally Grew a Spine
By daring Trump and the Republicans to shut down the government, the party is taking a stand six months after it should have.The New Republic
The US EPA Is Ending Greenhouse Gas Data Collection. Who Will Step Up to Fill the Gap?
With the agency no longer collecting emissions data from polluting companies, attention is turning to whether climate NGOs have the tools—and legal right—to fulfill this EPA function.
Archived copies of the article:
* archive.today
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also most hydrogen is a byproduct of fossil fuels. very little hydrogen is made with green energy.
edit: 95% of hydrogen is produced directly from fossil fuels. Truly "green"hydrogen is less than 1%.
climate.mit.edu/explainers/hyd…
Hydrogen
Hydrogen is the most abundant chemical substance in the universe. It can be used as a fuel that does not produce greenhouse gases when burned.MIT Climate Portal
Dont most people know that? I thought the promise is that you could establish a hydrogen infrastructure and it would get greener over time - similar to EV’s which get greener over time as power generation includes more renewables.
Not that I’m that naive but I thought that was the claim. Realistically it looks like corporate welfare to let fossil fuel companies keep a stranglehold on energy. One of the most satisfying parts of owning an EV is thinking about all that industry that no longer needs to exist. It’s not just the drilling and refining and shipping and military support for oppressive regimes worldwide, but also huge amounts of polluting and profiteering infrastructure to store and distribute gasoline to every street corner. It can all go
Dont most people know that?
most people do not know that in my experience.
thought the promise is that you could establish a hydrogen infrastructure and it would get greener over time - similar to EV’s which get greener over time as power generation includes more renewables.
why should we use renewables to produce hydrogen (not to mention develop an entirely new hydrogen infrastructure) when we could just use that renewable energy as it is? That's just adding extra steps and inefficiency for very little benefit, if any.
One of the most satisfying parts of owning an EV is thinking about all that industry that no longer needs to exist.
agreed.
why should we use renewables to produce hydrogen (not to mention develop an entirely new hydrogen infrastructure) when we could just use that renewable energy as it is? That's just adding extra steps and inefficiency for very little benefit, if any.
Because hydrogen isn't trying to replace the source of energy, it is trying to replace the storage of it, at present batteries are not nearly good enough for the EV only transportation boom, but hydrogen works and only really needs to deal with the volatility issue
Because hydrogen isn’t trying to replace the source of energy, it is trying to replace the storage of it
yes, but the point is renewables>battery storage is a more direct and efficient storage system than renewables>hydrogen which then has to be contained, shipped, and distributed for every refill/charge. Batteries you make once and recharge thousands of times which you can do with distribution through the grid from your local power utility (or even right at home if you have solar).
at present batteries are not nearly good enough for the EV only transportation boom, but hydrogen works and only really needs to deal with the volatility issue
it's not just volatility that's an issue. Even setting that aside, Hydrogen is difficult to contain because it's such a small molecule, and it weakens/corrodes metals. These are not trivial challenges at all.
the other thing you can’t do with hydrogen is energy recovery via braking, so you’d have to build cars with a battery or some other kind of hybrid system for fuel cost efficiency.
It's true that batteries present their own challenges but we are making much more progress in battery tech than we are with hydrogen.
only really needs to deal with the volatility issue
H2 is the smallest molecule there is, and among the worst to contain. It's also quite reactive. And the production of H2 for storage is not wonderfully efficient, nor is the whole lifecycle from production to consumption.
The only real reason for hydrogen is to repurpose rather than scrapping the existing gasoline supply chain. That benefits nobody but the fossil-fuel companies. And that's why it's being endlessly hyped, despite being a profoundly suboptimal solution.
It's typical to see the proposals devolve.
Fully green hydrogen!
Yeah, bit expensive to build now. What if we first do half green and the rest from fossil fuels.
So we ran the budget again. We were thinking just a quarter green.
Well, infrastructure doesn't quite support this, so you know what? Gas with hydrogen added!
Is this a good time to tell we settled on natural gas with a homeopathic amount of green hydrogen?
whatever happened to @Hypx@fedia.io ?
They spammed hydrogen propaganda none stop them just went silent. Looks like they've taken it to their own small sub.
they dismissed their own research theconversation.com/why-electr… as saying electric results in less emissions, but on an aggressive solution their own link shows less than half emissions.
Green H2 is only path to 100% renewables because it monetizes surplus renewable energy that has to have surpluses in order to power everything every day.
A large scale, with labour, installation of DC only solar in China costs $500-$800/kw. prior to financing costs this is 1.25 to 2c/kwh 30 year electricity production at 4 sun hours per day. Solar doesn't need to be replaced for 60 years. Every 1% of financing (or ROI step) costs is 0.34 to 0.54c/kwh. China interest rates are under 2%, and providing that financing rate is the greatest subsidy to capex only projects such as solar, that H2 allows 100% guaranteed monetization rates if they are working. 2c-3c/kwh electricity cost.
Alkaline electrolysis are cheaper than PEM. There is great innovation in other technologies as well, but you will need to have it developed/financed in China instead of trying stupid government bribes, or waiting for oil dependent banksters to follow through on support. Alkaline is $250/kw. PEM is targeted with support at $330 next year, but $500/kw near term is certain. Norway's NEL is also around/close to this mark. PEM is more automatable with distilled water, and voltage variations, and 30mpa pressure output, but Alkaline powered by batteries is perfectly fine, with longer lifespans of 60k+ hours, but with a minimal water additive process. This is over 40 years with 10 hours/day use.
At 55kwh/kg of H2, this is opex of $1.10 to $1.65/kg. $250/kw capex over 30000 hours (half of life) is 45c/kg. each 1% financing cost for 3000 production hours/year is 4.5c/kg. Total cost as low as $1.64/kg uncompressed at 2% financing, but $1.73 with direct solar (minimal battery size excluded) only (1500 hours/year). Financing costs determine how little electrolyzers with how big of a battery buffer to keep them running.
Natural gas can make emission free H2 (excluding fugitive methane emissions during transport) through pyrolysis. It also makes pure solid graphite which can be used from tire rubber to graphene, and has economic value to store and trade. OPEX electricity is cut in half (55c - 82c/kg), and no membranes makes the electronics far easier. Water electrolysis can still be better at low electricity costs (it also costs less than NG input). Free land in middle east/Australia/deserts with much more than 4 sun hours/day means even cheaper costs than China with import of Chinese tech. Water and H2 can exist in same pipeline, and so coastal populations can be provided with energy in return for water. Where desalination provides distilled water, PEM gets more attractive as it can operate at higher efficiency with lower voltage (extending total life hours too), and 24 hour operation from battery unless market prices for H2 are high enough to support high production. 24 hour production at 50kwh/kg makes electrolysis of water cost 10c/kg less in opex, and 5c/kg less in financing costs = $1.49/kg (but excluding the battery costs needed to support)
Retail prices at filling stations in Guangdong are already below $4/kg which is $2/gallon equivalent diesel in a fuel cell. There is massive profit opportunity for $2/kg paid to green producers with social infrastructure support (pipelines mainly but also fuel cell use). H2's biggest advantage over electricity is its transportability and storage. $2/kg H2 can provide a home with 10c/kwh electricity in their fuel cell, and 6c/kwh in combined heat/electricity energy where the waste fraction is enough to provide the usual 40% home energy fraction needed for domestic hot water.
There's no reason to nuke electric grid from orbit, but an H2 only economy could provide cheaper electricity to most of the world.
Why electric beats hydrogen in the race to decarbonise freight vehicles in Australia
Modelling shows a shift to electric trucks is the better, faster option for cutting transport emissions under most plausible scenarios in Australia’s energy transition.The Conversation
Government shutdown live updates as up to 750,000 federal workers face furlough
Government shutdown live updates as up to 750,000 federal workers face furlough
The government began to shut down overnight after Democrats and Republicans failed to come to an agreement to extend government funding ahead of the Oct. 1, 2025, deadline.Kaia Hubbard (CBS News)
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Trump Administration Moves to Relax Rules on Climate Super Pollutants
The E.P.A. plan would allow grocery stores, air-conditioning manufacturers and others to phase out hydrofluorocarbons in cooling equipment more slowly.
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