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Russia’s Neutrality During The Latest Indo-Pak Conflict Was Due To New Policymaking Dynamics


Russia’s Neutrality During The Latest Indo-Pak Conflict Was Due To New Policymaking Dynamics

By Andrew Korybko

Russia might be reassessing India’s role in Eurasia.


Alexei Zakharov is a respected Russian expert on South Asia who serves as a Fellow at the Observer Research Foundation’s Strategic Studies Programme, which is one of India’s top think tanks. He recently published an insightful piece titled, “Can India rely on Russia to diplomatically isolate Pakistan? It seems unlikely”, which candidly explains Russia’s neutrality during the latest Indo-Pak conflict. In a nutshell, he believes that Russia’s growing ties with Pakistan are the main reason, but there’s actually a bit more to it.

This analysis here from last summer enumerates several others which posit that a pro-BRI policymaking faction now exists in Russia as the friendly rival of the established balancing/pragmatic one. The first believes that the return to a form of Sino-US bi-multipolarity is inevitable and thus wants to accelerate China’s superpower trajectory as revenge against the US for all it’s done since 2022. The second, by contrast, want to avert outsized dependence on China by relying on India as a friendly counterweight.

Russia’s neutrality towards the latest Indo-Pak conflict coupled with the pro-Pakistani (and even sometimes anti-Indian) commentary of top “Non-Russian Pro-Russian” influencers within its global media ecosystem, which could have been corrected with some “gentle nudges” but wasn’t, surprised some observers. After all, it was concluded here after Modi’s trip to Moscow last summer that his visit was a victory for the balancing/pragmatic policymaking faction, yet it was evidently short-lived as seen.

It arguably seems like the pro-BRI faction is back to influencing Russia’s South Asian policy as suggested by the preceding examples, with this perception being lent immense credence by Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s speech at the Diplomatic Club on Thursday. He warned that the West wants to pit India against China and strongly alluded to the Quad, in which India participates, as an example of an “openly confrontational” format. All of this implies that Russia might be reassessing India’s role in Eurasia.

Instead of continuing to be seen as a friendly counterweight to China that’ll also help jointly speed up Eurasia’s integration, it might soon be suspected of being a hostile counterweight to China that could also obstruct the aforesaid integration at the US’ behest. The second perception could influence policy if Russia becomes more dependent on China in the event that tensions escalate with the US over Ukraine or if Russia engages in major deal-making with the US and/or China in Pakistan and Afghanistan.

Either scenario would likely solidify the pro-BRI policymaking faction’s newly restored influence over their balancing/pragmatic rivals, though Putin himself remains a committed member of the second faction, which is why his planned trip to India later this year could even everything out in that event. If neither of the abovementioned scenarios materializes, then policymaking influence might naturally oscillate back towards the balancing/pragmatic faction with time, or at least after Putin’s planned trip.

Circling back to Zakharov, he’s correct that Russia’s growing ties with Pakistan were responsible for Russia’s neutrality during the latest Indo-Pak conflict, but that’s only due to the newly influential pro-BRI policymaking faction conceptualizing them in a Sino-US bi-multipolarity context. This contrasts with how their balancing/pragmatic rivals conceptualize them as part of Russia’s multi-alignment strategy. India should be aware of these new policymaking dynamics in order to avoid misunderstandings with Russia.


Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Voice of East.


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#China #Eurasia #Geopolitics #India #Pakistan #Russia



FreeBSD 14.3 Beta 3 Brings KDE Plasma 6 Packages To The DVD ISOs lxer.com/module/newswire/ext_l…


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BBC News - Celtic rainforest facing species 'extinction crisis'

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A video of these vehicles: youtu.be/riJx5ZcizYU

DDR traktoren, LKW&PKW museum Reddelich Bad Doberan Germany June 2024

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Yakima River shore in late winter/early spring [Richland, Washington, USA]
#SilentSunday #Photography

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Yakima River shore in late winter/early spring [Richland, Washington, USA]
#SilentSunday #Photography



Oxfam’s Bushra Khalidi delivers this clear and urgent message in The New Humanitarian: what happens in #Gaza affects us all 👇🏾

thenewhumanitarian.org/opinion…

#gaza

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Het is gruwelijk, maar we doen - misschien - pas iets als er duidelijke tekenen van genocide zijn. We zijn het verplicht, maar we treuzelen, we weten het ff niet. Ondertussen worden de Palestijnen in Gaza net zo behandeld als de Joden in de jaren '40 in het getto van Warschau. Toen wisten we het niet, nu is het volkomen helder.
"Nooit meer" is een lege term geworden.

#Gaza #Genocide

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No white discrimination in South Africa.

It is baseless rumour and disinformation, spread by Musk + Grok AI, just more #racism.

They've been caught tweaking the algorithm, adding disinfo.

4% of the population is still owning more land than the majority. No genocide of Boers, but #apartheid is still affecting black and coloured population.
(edit: typo)

Questa voce è stata modificata (5 mesi fa)


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Many an object is not seen, though it falls within the range of our visual ray, because it does not come within the range of our intellectual ray, ie, we are not looking for it. So, in the largest sense, we find only the world we look for.
-- Henry David Thoreau (Journal, July 2, 1857)

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@FotoVorschlag #FotoVorschlag "Dorfleben"

"Es sind oft Dörfer oder kleine Städte mit touristischem Potenzial, die aufgrund ihrer Lage, ihrer Geschichte oder ihrer Denkmäler wichtig sind, deren Aktivität und Bevölkerung aber im Allgemeinen im Niedergang begriffen waren, bevor sie in Buchdörfer umgewandelt wurden" (Wikipedia)

Hier in Cuisery, Frankreich

in reply to 🏳️‍🌈 Sabina Lorenz 🦄

Das Bild zeigt eine malerische Straße in einem europäischen Städtchen, vermutlich in Frankreich, mit Fachwerkhäusern auf beiden Seiten. Im Vordergrund hängt ein großes Schild mit der Aufschrift "VILLAGE du LIVRE" über der Straße, was auf eine Buchmesse oder ein Buchdorf hinweist. Darunter ist ein Banner mit der Aufschrift "DON du SANG" und der Angabe "MARDI 20 SEPT", was auf eine Blutspendenaktion am Dienstag, den 20. September, hinweist. Die Straße ist gepflastert und führt in die Ferne, wo weitere Gebäude und ein Café mit Tischen und Stühlen zu sehen sind. Links am Straßenrand befindet sich ein Informationsschild mit einer Karte und Hinweisen zu verschiedenen Orten im Städtchen. Die Atmosphäre ist ruhig und einladend, mit einem klaren blauen Himmel und sonniger Witterung.

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Le stazioni di ricarica Enel X situate a Pula CA: tutto ok fino a 70 kW e la colonnina DC è allo stato attuale quella geograficamente più a sud della Sardegna, e da li fino a Sant'Antioco non si trovano altre DC forumelettrico.it/forum/colonn… #pula #cagliari #enelx


2025.05.17 京都御苑
Nikon Zfc 試し撮り。ほぼカメラ初体験なのでまずは露出以外はほぼお任せで。
カメラって情報量が多いんで難しいイメージだけど、カメラ側で頑張ってくれるので実際に触ってみると、印象より気軽に撮ることもできるのが良いですね。
ただ、とにかく手が馴染んでないので、いつの間にか誤操作で撮ったらしい謎画像がところどころに混じってるw
あと、ファインダーとモニターで微妙に違って見える気がするので、このあたりの慣れも必要そう。

#photography #Kyoto #京都 #マストドン写真部



#sécurité #PassKeys
Un article que je garde car il résume parfaitement bien tous les problèmes liés aux Passkeys (et pourquoi je n'en veux absolument pas).
dedoimedo.com/life/passwords-p…


#Palermo, sabato 16 maggio. La comunità #palestinese incontra il giornalista Antonio Mazzeo per discutere di cobelligeranza, genocidio, militarizzazione e costituzione. #stopthegenocideingaza🇵🇸 I crimini italiani a sostegno del genocidio di Israele contro il popolo palestinese

Associazione Peacelink reshared this.



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in reply to LastQuake

#Earthquake 27 km NW of Néa Artáki (#Greece) 16 min ago (local time 09:56:44). Updated map - Colored dots represent local shaking & damage level reported by eyewitnesses. Share your experience via:
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in reply to LastQuake

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ARCHIVIO NON AUTORIZZATO – IN ARRIVO
Segnale disturbato.
Identità sfocata.
Coordinate incerte.

Ma il messaggio è chiaro:
18.05.2025 — ore 21:00
SALOTTO DI MIRANDA
Accesso a un frammento instabile di Chrysalis Aura.
Interazione uomo–AI.
Archivio C…A.10 in fase di sblocco.

Δ Se ricevi questo messaggio, sei già dentro.

#ChrysalisAura #ArchivioNonAutorizzato #MiranPaper #Solarpunk #eventoaurico #18maggio #memorieinarrivo #posturbanismo

Rinaldo Giorgetti reshared this.


in reply to Andreas (82mhz)

@stefano

Fantastic review, Andreas!! And so true! I had the same experience of Stefano adding a bit of code that gave me the possibility of using my old rss feed name. I feel like you do about BSSG and its author. I'm so happy you said it so well.

I also missed that bit on deploy and saw it first on your blog. I made a script adding "--site-url anitalewis.org" to the build command. I found that possibility in that awesome README with the chart of the commands.

I totally get your enthusiasm. I have it, too. I'll be interested to see what you do with theme change. I like your layout and you have dark mode which I need. Several of the themes have dark included including the default, so I'll be investigating those.

in reply to Anita Lewis

@ajlewis2

It'll be interesting switching to BSSG, especially since Stefano keeps fixing the things that I mentioned could be improved, like the deploy step.

It's going to be a few weeks probably before I find the time, but the decision is made to switch to BSSG 😉

@stefano I wouldn't be surprised AT ALL if you had a fully featured theme editor already in the works 😄 All I ask is that you release it before I start digging into creating my own theme 😉





Шось збір повільно рухається, в когось є 30 мільйонів?

Томограф нужна штука.

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@ua #Збір

in reply to partizan

The image is a promotional poster with a teal background. At the top, there is a dark blue rectangle with white text that reads "АПАРАТ КТ ДЛЯ ВИЙСЬКОВОГО ГОСПИТАЛЮ У ХАРКОВИ" (CT Scanner for the Military Hospital in Kharkiv). Below this, there is an image of a CT scanner, partially visible, with a dark blue overlay.

In the center, there is a circular logo with the text "Гуманитарний Фонд Сергія Притули" (Sergiy Prytula Humanitarian Fund) and a checkmark. Below the logo, there is white text that reads "Збір на апарат КТ для Військового госпіталю у Харківі" (Collection for a CT Scanner for the Military Hospital in Kharkiv).

Further down, there is additional text explaining that every fourth patient at the Kharkiv hospital needs a CT scan, and the Sergiy Prytula Humanitarian Fund and the Military Medical Center of the Central Region are collecting funds to purchase a CT scanner. At the bottom, there is a black button with white text that reads "Швидкість 11 070 грн/год" (Speed 11,070 UAH/year), indicating a fundraising goal.

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Bin Gleis 2, falls jemand ein Clearing braucht...
in reply to LosGrandeFocco

Das Bild zeigt ein Schild an einem Stahlpfosten, das die Nummer 2 zeigt. Über dem Schild befindet sich ein gelbes Warnschild mit einem schwarzen Rand, das eine Person, die auf einem Zug stolpert, darstellt. Der Hintergrund besteht aus einem bewölkten Himmel mit blauen Flecken. Im Hintergrund sind weitere Stahlpfosten mit Straßenlaternen und Teile eines Gebäudes zu sehen, das möglicherweise Teil einer Bahnhofshalle ist.

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"Under the KMT and TPP coalition, the Legislative Yuan has turned into a political assembly line rushing to churn out products. Today, they rush to vote; tomorrow, they seize control of the narrative. Public opinion is reduced to decoration, and the procedure becomes mere installation art. With a legislative majority comes arbitrariness — they do whatever they please."

taipeitimes.com/News/editorial…





[Fresco di Stampa] - Hit parade di lacrime - Suzuki Izumi

@libri@feddit.it

Una donna senza nome, intrappolata in un matrimonio infelice, riceve poteri magici da una misteriosa entità: ora può trasformare il marito infedele e alcolizzato in tutto ciò che vuole. Delle studentesse annoiate rendono l’omicidio di un viscido uomo d’affari che cerca di approfittarsi di loro un rituale segreto dalle conseguenze devastanti. Una banda di pirati spaziali, alla ricerca di fauna esotica in un pianeta inesplorato, scopre un misterioso bambino abbandonato. In un’altra storia, Emma, a seguito di una relazione disturbante con un alieno che la spinge oltre i propri limiti, finisce in un istituto psichiatrico.

In tutto ciò che ha scritto Suzuki Izumi ha indagato un futuro distopico che ancora oggi ci colpisce con la ferocia della sua lungimiranza creativa, mentre i suoi racconti si dispiegano e si avverano sotto i nostri occhi.


Giorgia Sallusti - Nella terra dei ciliegi

L’opera narrativa di Suzuki continua a parlare al nostro presente, con la sua figura autoriale, il suo femminismo irriducibile a ogni schema e il coraggio con cui si è esposta al proprio tempo lasciandosene divorare ma anche cogliendone quasi profeticamente le coordinate più occulte e le trame più oscene.


Carlo Mazza Galanti - Lucy Sulla Cultura

#libri #leggere #lettura #fantascienza #distopia #addeditore #bibliofilincurabili #libripendolari @bibliofilincurabili@a.gup.pe

addeditore.it/catalogo/suzuki-…

Questa voce è stata modificata (5 mesi fa)
in reply to alephoto85

questa collana è meravigliosa e meritoria. Ma fa anche capire lo stato del mercato editoriale: 20 euro per dei racconti brevi sono davvero una mazzata che ostacola la lettura. Certo dovremmo guadagnare di più(per comprarli) e lavorare di meno (per leggerli)

reshared this

in reply to phobeus

vero il costo dei volumi Add è forse un po' alto ma, purtroppo, mi sembra in linea con tutto il resto in questo periodo, almeno dalle miei parti 😢
Non so quante possano essere le spese di un piccolo editore tra traduzione, illustrazione, marketing, stampa, distribuzione ecc... ma penso faccia più fatica rispetto a gruppi editoriali più grandi.

Comunque sì, la collana Asia è davvero ben fatta 😍

Questa voce è stata modificata (5 mesi fa)

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Unknown parent

mastodon - Collegamento all'originale
Alessandro
ancora no. Lo prenderò a breve sperando di riuscire a leggerlo in tempi decenti (lista troppo lunga). Ultimamente mi hannk regalato un buono è ho acquistato, sempre di Add, il secondo volume di Oceano Rosso (anche quello in coda 🤬🤬🤬)
Questa voce è stata modificata (5 mesi fa)

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Members of the "Pugwash" conference meet with Iranian officials in Tehran parstoday.ir/en/news/daily_new…



🔴 Superdomenica elettorale in Europa, il 18 maggio a partire dalle ore 19:00 segui con noi:

Romania, Portogallo, Polonia, Bolzano e tanto altro ancora!

Risultati, exit poll, analisi e reazioni degli esperti

Attiva la campanella per non perdere l'inizio 👇🏻
youtube.com/watch?v=FOb2Wkvr5A…





hello from Leiden

(colors are not adjusted, this was exactly how it looked to the naked eye)




Today, Meister conducts #Reger and #Bruckner's Second in #Meiningen worldconcerthall.com/en/schedu… #wch


Layla Moran urges more action on Israel and warns of ‘cruel destitution’ in Gaza | Layla Moran | The Guardian
theguardian.com/politics/2025/…

#Palestine #Israel #UK
@palestine



Rising Income Inequality Causing Wealthy Americans To Take On Second Sailboat - The Onion
theonion.com/rising-income-ine…

#Satire #Inequality #TheOnion



Google prepara novidades para partilhar resultados de IA da Pesquisa de forma mais simples
🔗 tugatech.com.pt/t66796-google-…

#google #twitter



Gestern Abend endlich noch mal beim Baseball gewesen. Leider gabs gestern die erste Niederlage der Saison, allerdings im elften Spiel. 😀
Nachher noch auf zwei Guinness ins Pub gegangen. Guter Abend.
in reply to Patrick

Das Bild zeigt eine Szene aus einem Baseballspiel. Im Vordergrund steht ein Batter in einem schwarzen Trikot mit einem Helm und einem Baseballschläger bereit, um zu schlagen. Der Catcher, in einem roten Trikot und mit voller Ausrüstung, hockt hinter dem Home Plate und bereitet sich auf den Wurf des Pitchers vor. Der Pitcher, ebenfalls in einem roten Trikot, wirft den Ball vom Pitcher-Mound aus. Der Umpire, in einem schwarzen Trikot, steht hinter dem Catcher und beobachtet die Situation. Im Hintergrund ist ein elektronisches Scoreboard zu sehen, das die Punktzahlen der beiden Mannschaften anzeigt: "GÄSTE" haben 6 Punkte, "HEIM" haben 8 Punkte. Die Anzeige zeigt auch die aktuellen Spielzahlen: 1 Ball, 2 Strikes und 1 Out. Der Hintergrund besteht aus einem grünen Rasenfeld mit Bäumen und einem Zaun.

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