cross-posted from: programming.dev/post/35879042
If AI takes most of our jobs, money as we know it will be over. What then?
::: spoiler Comments
- Lemmy.
:::

AI’s evangelists are promising a future of almost unimaginable prosperity. There’s good reason to be sceptical.
The Conversation
SoftestSapphic
in reply to Pro • • •AI isn't going to take anyone's job.
We will fire a bunch of workers while delusion nepo babies try to figure out why an autocomplete bot can think critically or do any complex tasks, then they will close their buisness or rehire people after a few years of failure, and it won't impact the owner's quality of life in any way because they have more wealth then they will ever need
We should absolutely have a UBI that's funded by taxing 100% of wealth over a set number and redistributing it perpetually.
sugar_in_your_tea
in reply to SoftestSapphic • • •Agreed for the most part, but I disagree about the 100% taxes thing. I think we should instead cap inheritance/gifts, not income. You can be as wealthy as you want, but once you die, it all goes back to the common pot.
I don't care about rich people, I mostly just care about generational wealth.
Vinstaal0
in reply to sugar_in_your_tea • • •So that 18-year-old that loses both his parents will inherent nothing? So he would have to live on the street or something? Or that women who lose their husband, so inheriting the other half of their combined income? Which will cause her to lose the house etc?
Inheriting a couple 100k or even a mill isn't really the issue. Do tax it, yes, but 100% tax on anything is unreasonable, or at least if that happens at once. That's why we have multiple different taxes.
sugar_in_your_tea
in reply to Vinstaal0 • • •The cap wouldn't be zero, it would probably be in the low millions. If your parents were wealthy, you'd have a head start, but you would still need to work. There could be a separate exclusion for spouses, where maybe they keep half of the wealth or something as a one-time transfer (i.e. if they get remarried, that wealth wouldn't transfer to the new spouse).
As part of this, I also want to rework corporations and trusts. Basically, the only legal entity that gets special tax treatment are corporations with low valuation, once you go public or report net income or revenue over some amount, the legal protections go away. So mom and pop shops would get bankruptcy protection and whatnot, but large corporations wouldn't.
But all of that overcomplicates what I wanted to communicate, which is that generational wealth shouldn't be a thing. Property should be community owned and exclusivity agreements should be temporary (i.e. real estate should be owned until death).
Vinstaal0
in reply to sugar_in_your_tea • • •You still wouldn't want to do any taxation at 100%, make it 70 or 80% sure, but 100% is just bullshit and 70-80% will be enough. The way to get people to accept higher taxes is to explain it to hem. People will also do everything in their power to not pay that 100% tax, including just stopping their Dang business for that year if corporate income would be taxed at 100%
The spousal thing is generally solved in the world by giving an exception, in NL it's like the first 800k is tax-free when your legal spouse dies.
Money inside companies is just money that will be taxed at a later date, the issue is that billionaires in the US put their stocks up as collateral taking out loans. It would be taxed again if they dividend it out or pay themselves somewhat of a wage.
The issue with companies is that evaluating them is something that you just cannot easily do every year for the tax report, unless you just go look at the equity = company value. We do have some designation for small, median and large companies based on revenue, balance total and FTE count, well at least in NL it is based on those 3.
Small companies need some tax breaks and larger companies don't, but a lot of companies are split up to multiple different companies to be able to benefit from tax breaks.
Owning a single property is not the issue, every family should be able to own one. It's the fact that people own multiple properties. You want to make it so it is not a good financial decision to own multiple properties, either you as a business or you as a person.
Just increase the inheritance tax for everything after a mil or so. It's still a couple taxation, but hey
sugar_in_your_tea
in reply to Vinstaal0 • • •The idea is rooted in the same ideas that Georgism is based on, which is the idea that people should own the value they create themselves, whereas things like property should be communally owned. Inheritance money isn't created value, so I think there's a good argument that it should be capped, and any excess should go to the people..
I don't believe in inheritance tax to fund the government though, it should merely be redistributed either as cash or donations to unaffiliated charities. The only tax used to fund governments should be land value taxes.
Vinstaal0
in reply to sugar_in_your_tea • • •100% inheritence tax will go to the government though.
Still it's basically stealing from families anyway.
sugar_in_your_tea
in reply to Vinstaal0 • • •Vinstaal0
in reply to sugar_in_your_tea • • •Which goes through the government.
Again if you want more income for those at the bottom you want efficient tax methods and 100% is not an efficient tax method since people will do EVERYTHING they can to avoid it. If people can accept a tax rate, they will pay it. Well a lot more people will pay it.
sugar_in_your_tea
in reply to Vinstaal0 • • •Yes, it goes through the government and is technically a tax, my point is that it's not funding the government.
The point isn't to be an effective way to redistribute money, the point is to ensure the winners earned it as much as possible. When someone "succeeds" entirely because of their parents' wealth, we run into the same issues as we had under kings where those at the top feel like they "deserve" to be there without actually earning it. If rich people decide to donate it all to causes they support instead of having it be redistributed, that's totally fine, because the point isn't to help the poor, it's to prevent generational wealth from determining winners and losers.
Vinstaal0
in reply to sugar_in_your_tea • • •Like I said, 100% tax is just stealing.
It's not an issue to actually tax the rich, but the first x schould be tax free and after that a bracket should be low tax until y and then you can charge z percentage above that, but it cannot be 100% tax.
sugar_in_your_tea
in reply to Vinstaal0 • • •Sure, if you recognize generational wealth as being legitimate, taking that away is stealing.
I'm arguing that you only own the value you create. Inheriting wealth doesn't create value, so it's not really yours. I do think there's a legitimate argument for taking care of your family after you die, hence why I believe in some amount of exclusion for gifts (say in the million to tens of millions), because there are absolutely cases where it's necessary (i.e. if you have a special needs child or something) and that's not really the government's business. However, I do think the excess should be returned back to society, either through charitable donations or a direct redistribution.
Here's how I see it happening:
I don't see permanent ownership of real property as being legitimate, and I don't think inheritances are legitimate, because that promotes dynasties. The average person will be well below the gift tax exemption, so children of wealthy parents will absolutely have a step up over other people, but they won't automatically be filthy rich.
Vinstaal0
in reply to sugar_in_your_tea • • •You don't need to gift away millions of euro's let's be honest.
Like I explained to you, if you want taxes to be effective they have to be based on something and be kinda fair.
If you inheritence tax is 100% that means that every euro is taxed for a lot more than 100%.
Gifts just before deaths are often considered to be inheritance as well in some tax systems like NL fyi.
Basically how it works in NL currently:
1. Every asset is valuated
2. Based on the existing (or non existing) testament everything is distributed
3. the receivers or the personal responsible for distributing everything does a tax filing
4. Within 3 years of receiving the tax filing the government sends out a letter for the tax to be paid which is calculated with certain percentages depending on who is the receiver and the first x is also free from tax. Here you check the percentages etc: consumentenbond.nl/erven-schen…
There is also a special occasion when one of the parents die, then the remaining parent is in debt to the children until they die.
And exception for anything more than 1m euro is absolute bullshit. 140-150k is more than enough for most. Again taxing anything for 100% is stealing, you can do 60-70% though.
Most rich people don't deal with a lot of inheritence tax anyway. Most of the companies and very expensive assets will be passed down before they die. This will become even more if a 100% tax is introduced.
I don't sign up for the extreme taxation people like you want to introduce, because it will give people more incentive to do everything to not pay it. it will also get people to push more against the system. I have seen it time and time again with different taxes, considering I work at an accounting firm.
Instead we should have a good system of social security which means everybody has a basis income which should allow them to properly survive and thrive a bit. You will still have some people struggling one way or another with something like a universal basic income, but there is basically no way of stopping it but it will be vastly reduced.
Edit: there are a ton of ways of passing on wealth from one generation to another and with absurd levels of wealth is basically always goes in the form of passing companies down and there will always be at least one country where this is possible in a way you pay very little to no tax over it. Even if you keep it in the same countries you can often easily pass the company down, especially if the person who is inheriting it is working in that company. Why would not be actual value that somebody is allowed to inherited
There is a real issue with that people keep pushing their taxes forward. Like Musk being able to take loans with their stocks as collateral instead of dividing money out, paying taxes over that and using that. There are ton more of examples like that, that are a way bigger issue.
Erfbelasting 2024 en 2025: Vrijstellingen en tarieven
Carola van Dorp - Expert erven & schenken (Consumentenbond)sugar_in_your_tea
in reply to Vinstaal0 • • •Sure, if you start with the assumption that things like property and wealth can truly be owned. I personally think 60-70% tax is stealing under that assumption, and that inheritance (and gifts) should be treated like any other income.
But I'm starting from a different assumption that property is leased from society generally, and you only really own the value you create personally. When you die, there is no longer any legitimate owner so it must be redistributed.
I believe everyone should have equal opportunity to succeed, and that doesn't work if kids can just ride their parents' coattails. There will always be some of that with parents using their connections to help their kids get ahead, but inheriting a fortune completely kills any need to actually compete to succeed.
If we want a meritocratic society, we need to kill as much nepotism as we can. This article makes similar claims but from a little different perspective.
Agreed, but without the "thrive" bit. I think we need something like universal basic income to ensure everyone is above the poverty line, but that should be the extent of it. Along with this, I think we should eliminate the minimum wage and let the market decide what's fair.
However, this is completely separate from inheritance. I don't think the government should use that money for any purpose, it should strictly be redistributed if the person who died didn't choose any charities or whatever to donate to. The government should also give it to any survivors first if there's no will, up to the limit.
I don't see it as a tax because the government isn't taking that money, it's merely facilitating redistribution.
Passing down shares would be subject to the same inheritance rules.
Tax inheritance at 100% – it’s the only fair choice, says Lewis Goodall
Lewis Goodall (LBC)kyub
in reply to Pro • • •The current tech/IT sector is heavily relying on and riding hype trains. It's a bit like the fashion industry that way. But this AI hype so far has only been somewhat useful.
Current general LLMs are decent for prototyping or example output to jump-start you into the general direction of your destination, but their output always needs supervision and most often it needs fixing.
If you apply unreliable and constantly changing AI to everything, and completely throw out humans, just because it's cheaper, then you'll get vastly inferior results. You probably get faster results, but the results will have tons of errors which introduces tons of extra problems you never had before.
I can see AI fully replacing some jobs in some specific areas where errors don't matter much. But that's about it. For all other jobs or purposes, AI will be an extra tool, nothing more, nothing less.
AI has its uses within specific domains, when trained only on domain-specific and truthful data. You know, things like AlphaZero or AlphaGo. Or AIs revealing new methods not known before to reach the same goal. But these general AIs like ChatGPT which are trained on basically the whole web with all the crap in it... it's never going to be truly great. And it's also becoming worse over time, i.e. not improving much at all, because the web will be even fuller with AI-generated crap in the future. So the AIs slurp up all that crap too. The training data gets muddier over time. The promise of AIs getting even more powerful as time goes on is just a marketing lie. There's most likely a saturation curve, and we're most likely very close to the saturation already, where it won't really get any better. You could already see this by comparing the jump from GPT-3 to GPT-4 (big) and then GPT-4 to GPT-5 (much smaller). Or take a look at FSD cars. Also not really happening, unless you like crashes. Of course, the companies want to keep the illusion rolling so they'll always claim the next big revolution is just around the corner. Because they profit from investments and monthly paying customers, and as long as they can keep that illusion up and profit from that, they don't even need to fulfill any more promises.
Tollana1234567
in reply to kyub • • •devfuuu
in reply to Pro • • •realitista
in reply to devfuuu • • •Tollana1234567
in reply to realitista • • •realitista
in reply to Tollana1234567 • • •Lka1988
in reply to Pro • • •AI can't do my job.
I'm the guy they call when the machines go down.
CosmicTurtle0
in reply to Lka1988 • • •Tollana1234567
in reply to CosmicTurtle0 • • •gandalf_der_12te
in reply to Pro • • •If AI takes most of our jobs, people will earn less and have less money, which restricts consumerism.
Consumerism can only stay running with UBI and that's why it should be implemented.
Tell your local politicians that measures that give people more money are good for the economy. Maybe that will make them listen.
Echo Dot
in reply to gandalf_der_12te • • •That is always been true. You don't need the AI.
count_dongulus
in reply to Pro • • •Ever had an "AI" show up at 2AM on an emergency call to fix a gas leak? How about an "AI" to cook a breakfast sandwich? Maybe an "AI" is taking over babysitting while you're out of town...? No?
"AI" doesn't do anything. But if your job primarily revolves around words or pictures on a screen, maybe "AI" can help you with that.
Echo Dot
in reply to count_dongulus • • •paper_moon
in reply to Pro • • •"What then?"
"Same as it ever was!"
We all fight over resources that actually matter (like food, water, shelter and security) instead the previous things (money), for the enjoyment of our overlords.
Seriously, the people who have power to change the outcome of the future seem to either straight not be planning for this future scenario, or are planning for a horribly distopian version of this future scenario.
FlashMobOfOne
in reply to paper_moon • • •Echo Dot
in reply to FlashMobOfOne • • •Ok great. He can go and live in there while we ignore him.
These bunkers are a boondoggle, what's the plan here, is he going to stay in there until civilisation rebuilds itself into a capitalist system. If so he's going to be waiting a while.
DrunkenPirate
in reply to paper_moon • • •Same as ever…was that money wasn’t needed.
Do you need money within your neighborhood or your family? Do you pay people for giving a favor?
Echo Dot
in reply to DrunkenPirate • • •Money is a way to get people to do things they wouldn't otherwise do.
If you don't have automation you either have to have money or slavery. One of the other is required to keep society going otherwise no one's going to do the crappy jobs. Since someone has to do the crappy job you have to find a way to incentivise them and that's money or whips. Don't kid yourself into believing that money isn't necessary, it is.
DrunkenPirate
in reply to Echo Dot • • •I wonder how human societies survived without money, if this is so essential for the crap.
I wonder why people do crappy jobs for money? Is it because they need much money for things such as car, smartphone, playstation? For some food, you do not need much money. Actually you can grow it for yourself if you do not live in a big city.
Sure, if one got in this consumption trap, one needs a constant inflow of fresh money.
Echo Dot
in reply to DrunkenPirate • • •I think you've answered your own questions. Money doesn't have to be actual cash it can be bartering, I.e. I'll give you five carrots in exchange for your help to build this barn
But what if they don't need carrots right now, well you can give them a IOU for carrots whenever they want, and now you've invented money
DrunkenPirate
in reply to Echo Dot • • •deafboy
in reply to DrunkenPirate • • •DrunkenPirate
in reply to deafboy • • •It does matter. How much worth is helping a friend? Or how much money for your neighbors for caring your pets while you‘re in holidays?
Don’t you think they will refuse to take money for this favor? Not everything in humankind can be paid for.