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Why most polls overstate support for political violence


A new poll from NPR, PBS, and Marist College published on Wednesday, Oct. 2, shows a “striking change in Americans’ views on political violence.” We have grown much more violent as a country over the last year, NPR reports, with the share of U.S. adults who agree with the statement “Americans may have to resort to violence to get the country back on track” growing from 20 to 30% over the last 18 months.

This is scary data indeed. In NPR’s coverage of the poll, Cynthia Miller-Idriss, a professor at American University, says the data is “horrific”: “It’s just a horrific moment to see that people believe, honestly believe that there’s no other alternative at this point than to resort to political violence.” Where does America go from here?

But here’s the thing: The NPR/PBS/Marist poll did not ask people if they believed “there’s no other alternative at this point than to resort to political violence.” The survey asks adults whether or not they agree with the statement that people “may have to resort to violence in order to get the country back on track.” This is comparatively a much weaker statement and comes with a potentially heavy dose of measurement error. Respondents are asked to imagine a hypothetical scenario in which they’d have to commit acts of violence against a vague, unspecified victim. Maybe that means taking up arms against the government or their neighbors, or perhaps it just means throwing a rock at a cop or through a shop door.

The problem with polls and reports like this, in other words, is that they are not asking about the “political violence” we are imagining in our heads: An insurrection at the Capitol; driving a car through a crowd of protestors; shooting an activist you don’t like with a sniper rifle. The unfortunate reality (especially for those of us who care about democracy and what the people think) is that this survey does not ask whether Americans support certain acts of violence against their neighbors, even though that’s what the poll is being used as evidence for.

This disconnect between what is being polled and what is being talked about is part of a broader pattern I’ve pointed out in my recent coverage of political violence: Most polls overestimate mass support for political violence. I explain why this is the case, and why this is important for everyone from pollsters to elite journalists to casual news consumers to reckon with.



ICE violence caught on camera featured among evidence in new lawsuit





Trump’s plan for Gaza rewards Israel’s genocide and punishes its victims


Two years on, complicit governments back a US plan to safeguard Jewish supremacy and mute global outrage, while Israel revives Nazi torture methods to force Palestinian surrender


Arduino (Italian Electronics Company) acquired by US-Based Qualcomm


cross-posted from: lemmy.world/post/37022550

Today we’re sharing some truly exciting news: Arduino has entered into an agreement to join the Qualcomm Technologies, Inc. family! This is a huge step in our journey – one that allows us to keep growing, thriving, and making technology accessible to everyone, while bringing our values of openness, simplicity, and community spirit to an […]


READ THE TOS! lol


In order to protect your privacy even more efficiently, you need to do something very simple whenever using an online service or a software. Something that most people fail to do is reading the terms of service, also known as a TOS, from companies or developers' software. This usually will tell you straight up whether they're spying on you, selling your data, or using it to sell ads. This will solve a lot of problems with people not realizing that some software is actually the opposite of privacy, but they keep using it thinking it enhances their privacy.

don't like this

in reply to Lunatique

For every company where I have felt the need to read their terms of service and privacy policies beforehand, only once have I felt comfortable enough to go ahead and use their service.

The other twenty or so times? I have backed out. Usually I email the company first for clarity, which has always resulted in them dodging and dancing around their terrible terms and privacy practices.

It's great to be informed, but the real solutions needed are regulations and consumer protections. Being informed just results in me never using 99% of software or services.

in reply to Lunatique

If like me you are both lazy and not a lawyer, check ToS;DR tosdr.org/ but honestly it's like labels on food products.

You don't need the damn label to know that Coca Cola is not good but water is... so yes, don't use Facebook, great. You knew that already if you care just a bit about privacy.

Still, if you want to go there, please do check tosdr.org/ and if you can contribute back.

What I personally find more useful is F-Droid because if an app is not present on it, it's rarely because technically it can't, it's often because of anti-patterns. The app tries to go on F-Droid only to realize it's not "just" another store but they have rules, good rules IMHO, like no Google Analytics and whatever backends to track user behavior.

Also Android app analysis like exodus-privacy.eu.org/ is quite good, same idea, finding anti-patterns but not in code (which isn't a good start if it's not FOSS anyway) but rather in how the app actually behaves.

TL;DR: yes, do read the ToS if you can, but if you can't don't just press "yes" or avoid and move on, rely on the work of others like ToS;DR, F-Droid or exodus-privacy!

Questa voce è stata modificata (2 settimane fa)
in reply to utopiah

I don't really agree that if an app is not on f-droid then it's always bad, maybe a developer don't want to stay behind more stores
Questa voce è stata modificata (2 settimane fa)
in reply to Axolotl_cpp

I did not say it was always bad :

if an app is not present on it, it’s rarely because technically it can’t, it’s often because of anti-patterns.


So we agree. What sparked this reasoning though was github.com/Mentra-Community/Me… which as you can see squarely fits in that pattern, namely :

  • interesting open-source project targeting Android
  • not focusing on distributing via F-Droid
  • upon checking how to do so, discover that beside their available bandwidth, their current choices is not compatible with F-Droid.

I think it's a great example because it shows that developers themselves might not be aware of the consequence of their choices on privacy. This very project is about augmented reality and the value they try to demonstrate is that, unlike Meta for example, they do care about privacy. Yet, in practice, they do rely on Google components that do share data back.

So sure, I didn't say nor do I think ALL projects missing from F-Droid are because they have anti patterns... but more often than not they do.

PS: also noticed WireGuard is like that too. They force upgrades via their own distribution system and AFAICT F-Droid insists that it's up to the user to upgrade if they want to. It's a hard stance and it has consequences, e.g. maybe some people on F-Droid do not get WireGuard official app, maybe they get a less secure one, maybe they get it out of F-Droid and side-step the anti-pattern ... but it's also understandable.



Denver, CO.


(I’m not actually in Denver anymore, I’m back home in Cascadia, but this was shot out that way a few days ago, and I’m trying to post only one work a day or less, so I don’t flood the community, and to give each of my works, and each of yours, greater appreciation. Thank you for understanding.)

This was shot in Union Station; I was completely new to Denver, having been there for less than thirty seconds, drinking in new architecture and taking the culture in. I think I took 120 exposures in this train station alone, and I think this is the one I liked the best. It’s such a simple image, and yet the color in it is delicious, almost food-like.

Thank you for seeing my work!








Czechia Under Andrej Babiš Will Be Less Pro-Ukraine And More Sovereign




in reply to ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆

Did you even read the article? It's used as a textbook in the Academy if the General Staff. That's as close to official state policy as you can get.
in reply to rbesfe

Not only did I read your propaganda link, I also read the sources it provides which don't actually support the claim. Neither one claims it's being used as a textbook in the Academy if the General Staff, nor are they even primary sources. You're a clown.

in reply to jackeroni

So Russia now goes as far as advocating for removing kids from a kill list??
I don't know about you, but for me this is just crossing a red line, they are truly evil.


White House memo says furloughed federal workers aren't entitled to back pay


Furloughed federal workers aren't guaranteed compensation for their forced time off during the government shutdown, according to a draft White House memo described to Axios by three sources.

Why it matters: If the White House acts on that legal analysis, it would dramatically escalate President Trump's pressure on Senate Democrats to end the week-old shutdown by denying back pay to as many as 750,000 federal workers after the shutdown.

https://www.axios.com/2025/10/07/trump-memo-furloughed-federal-workers-backpay




What FOSS GOG Downloader/Archiver do you recommend?


I am thinking of buying a large USB drive dedicated to archiving the installers for all of my GOG purchases. What is your favorite FOSS GOG Downloader?
#gog
in reply to Jo Miran

I use lgogdownloader

github.com/Sude-/lgogdownloade…

from the command line on the my home server.

in reply to Jo Miran

In general, I use Lutris. But since you want to just do a backup, I guess github.com/Sude-/lgogdownloade… is what you are looking for


Tip #758

Return to the top of the page on Vivaldi Social by clicking the feed header.

To see the latest posts on Vivaldi Social after having made your way down the feed, you need to scroll to the top of the page, where the newest posts are waiting for you automatically or require a simple click to load (aka slow mode). There are a few ways you can do it, so find what works for you.

To jump to the top of the page:

  • Click the feed header (Home, Trending, Notifications, etc.)
  • Press “Home” on your keyboard.
  • Scroll with the mouse wheel until you reach the top of the page.
  • Create a Keyboard Shortcut or Mouse Gesture for the action in the Vivaldi browser.


Vivaldi Social's homepage open in the Vivaldi browser. An arrow points at the header of the feed.
#Mastodon #Vivaldi #VivaldiSocial

vivaldi.com/blog/tips/tip-758/



How to manage configuration files


I'm trying to find a better solution to manage configuration files, both user's dotfiles and system files in /etc.
I'm running an ubuntu server where I have a bunch services with custom configurations, and systemd drop-in files, but on top of that I also have some scripts and user dotfiles that I need to track.

What I'm doing right now is that I have a folder full of symlinks in the admin user's directory (poor username choice, btw) and I'm using bindfs to mount this directory inside a git repository, this way git won't see them as symlinks, and will version them as regular files. The problem with doing this is that as git deletes and rewrites files, bindfs fails to track the changes and converts the symlink to regular files.

I looked into chezmoi, but that is only meant to track user dotfiles and will refuse to add a file from /etc, that is unless doing some extra work. But even so, chezmoi will not track the user:group of files, so I would still have to manage that manually.

I also looked into GNU Stow, and that would not complain about files from /etc or anywhere, but it similarly will not track permissions and I would have to manage that manually.

I see that some people are using ansible to manage dotfiles, but at that point, it would make sense to just migrate to ansible, except I don't want to rebuild my server from scratch to use ansible. Also it looks like a lot to learn.

Is there a better solution I'm not seeing? Maybe something using git hooks?

Edit:

I ended up using pre-commit and post-merge git hooks to launch a python script. The python script reads from a yaml file where I annotate the file paths and permissions, and then copies to or from the file location to the git repository.

I used the sudoers file to allow the admin user to run this specific script with specific arguments as root without password (because the git commands are run from VS Code and not manually), which is dangerous, be careful when doing that. I have taken special care to make this secure:
* I used absolute paths for everything, to avoid allowing running from a different pwd as a way to copy different files
* The script itself is installed in a root-owned location, so an unprevileged user cannot edit it
* The configuration yaml is root-owned, so an unprevileged user cannot modify which files are copied or their permissions
* Configuration files that can grant permission are not managed by this script (the yaml, /etc/passwd, /etc/groups, polkit rules, the sudoers file, ...)

Questa voce è stata modificata (1 settimana fa)
in reply to edinbruh

You could use aliases on your .bashrc for git (and a bare repo), that would let you manage your $HOME and /etc directly with git without using symlinks, only downside is having them separated in two aliases and two repos.

# user config repo
alias dotfiles='git --git-dir=$HOME/.dotfiles --work-tree=$HOME'

# system config repo
alias etcfiles='sudo git --git-dir=$HOME/.etcfiles --work-tree=/etc'

It is also recommended that you run:
<alias> config --local status.showUntrackedFiles no

in the terminal for both the dotfiles and etcfiles aliases (you can pick the aliases and git-dir names you want)

The aliases help you have a custom named folder instead of .git located in a custom path, and you can manage them without symlinks as you use git directly on the file's original location, this would solve your issue of other solutions that depend on symlinks

Note: you could technically have the root directory --work-tree=/ as a work tree to use only one command, but It is not recommended to give git the possibility to rewrite any file on the entire file system.

Some reference links:

Text

Questa voce è stata modificata (2 settimane fa)
in reply to edinbruh

I have a simple bash script that manages folders and files with a way to route them to whatever location. Then I run the script and it does all the symlinking for me. This is what I do for systemd unit files and my own dotfiles


UK Age Verification Data Confirms What Critics Always Predicted: Mass Migration To Sketchier Sites


A month old now, but it's important on the unnecessary surveillance creep we keep having. First this, then digital ID.

Worrying levels of authoritarianism that solves nothing. Government are supposed to represent us, not ignore us and treat us like children. Who are they working for?



in reply to schizoidman

Many governments are astonishingly dumb. If I were in charge and wanted to make pro-Israel politics, I would let them demonstrate whatever they want. Just would keep completely ignoring those demonstrations and avoid the theme altogether.

Peaceful demonstrations are completely useless, no need to fight them.

Luckily, most governments are dumb.

in reply to Lembot_0004

They do it already basically, but Bologna is a peculiar setting and this ban is an unsurprising ragebait


Major US Midwest port [Cleveland] begins electrifying operations to reduce emissions


For those wondering how a mid-continent city has a port, the Great Lakes are connected to the ocean via the St. Lawrence, and have a system of locks allowing mid-sized cargo ships to travel substantially inland.
Questa voce è stata modificata (2 settimane fa)


Microsoft makes it even harder to install Windows 11 without a Microsoft Account or internet


The company has already blocked the popular oobe\bypassnro command that people used to skip parts of the initial setup, and now, Microsoft is doubling down on its efforts. In the latest Windows 11 preview builds, the software giant makes it much harder to install Windows 11 without a Microsoft Account.

https://www.neowin.net/news/microsoft-makes-it-even-harder-to-install-windows-11-without-a-microsoft-account-or-internet/

#tech


How Mark Carney is complicating Canada’s climate progress


From cancelling the carbon tax to pausing the electric vehicle mandate, the Carney government is making sweeping changes to the country’s environmental rules
in reply to CompactFlax

We kinda need both.

Oil isn’t just for cars and power plants. Oil is a chemical used in so many things, from asphalt to medicine.

But we should be transitioning to green energy, which is less centralized than a few big power plants, less polluting, and therefore more secure from threats. It’s also getting cheaper and cheaper by the month.

I want a strong Canada that can run our own critical supply chains, and I want a green Canada that doesn’t let our mines throw their tailings into our drinking water and our air is clean. And I want a secure Canada that can stand up to bullies without fear.

in reply to panda_abyss

You make good points about our dependency on oil and gas for chemistry. I think it makes it even more important to reduce our reliance on it globally for personal transportation.




in reply to silence7

Billionaires and their companies still cooking the planet from their private enclaves, close neighborhoods, and vehicles?

...and we still haven't been able to kill them yet?




Anyone else live somewhere that has had people joining in a WiFi naming joke?


My WiFi is ‘Secret Rebel Base’.

My neighbours have added ‘Java the Hub’, ‘Obi Lan Kenobi’, and ‘Red WiFi-ve Standing By’. This makes me happy.

Anyone else live in a neighbourhood that embraces this kind of WiFi silliness?

in reply to Hossenfeffer

Sadly in my apartment complex they seem to all use the default name given by the router (like Carrier-randomnumbers).

I have a friend who named his WiFi "Connecting..." which is diabolical


in reply to Severus_Snape

A good person would be more concerned about some other kind of persecutions taking place right now.

Seems almost like Donald and Elon advocating against whites discrimination in South Africa.


in reply to ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆

I don't think that ICE would only surveil American phones.

independent.co.uk/news/world/a…

Questa voce è stata modificata (2 settimane fa)
in reply to TheReturnOfPEB

I mean when they expand they'll have to export all the foreigners.
in reply to kylian0087

states are not unitary actors, there can be different arms of the state getting up to different, at times contradictory, shit



"I was beaten by Israeli police," says European MEP Rima Hassan after Sumud Flotilla detention


French Member of the European Parliament Rima Hassan, of Palestinian origin, said she was beaten by 'Israeli' police after the interception of the Global Sumud Flotilla en route to Gaza.

Speaking to Agence France-Presse at Athens International Airport on Monday, where she arrived alongside other deported activists including Swedish climate activist Greta Thunberg, Hassan said, “I was beaten while being put into a police car by two Israeli officers.” Wearing gray prison garments similar to those worn by Thunberg, she added, “We have a lot to reveal,” condemning the treatment they received and affirming that “some of us were beaten.”

Hassan did not provide further details about the alleged assault, stating only, “Sometimes there were 13 to 15 of us in a single cell, not on beds but on mats on the floor… in the high-security Israeli prison in the Negev. We lacked everything.” Thunberg, speaking from Athens, also denounced “mistreatment and abuses” during her detention but did not go into specifics.



CommunityHasNoFollowers error


It appears that some instances have not resolved the unsubscribes properly, and I'm seeing errors like the below:
2025-10-07T12:20:11.488023Z  WARN Error encountered while processing the incoming HTTP request: lemmy_server::root_span_builder: CommunityHasNoFollowers: CommunityHasNoFollowers
   0: lemmy_apub::activities::community::announce::receive
             at crates/apub/src/activities/community/announce.rs:161
   1: lemmy_server::root_span_builder::HTTP request
           with http.method=POST http.scheme="http" http.host=lemmy.domain.ext http.target=/inbox otel.kind="server" request_id=02568c66-9ed6-4eb0-b533-77b19rcdef56 http.status_code=400 otel.status_code="OK"
             at src/root_span_builder.rs:16

Is there a way to determine which communities are throwing this error, and force the unsubscribe?
in reply to fmstrat

Is that the whole log? Have you enabled the trace level?
in reply to asudox

This was with the default logging:
RUST_LOG=warn,extism=info,lemmy_server=debug,lemmy_api=debug,lemmy_api_common=debug,lemmy_api_crud=debug,lemmy_apub=debug,lemmy_db_schema=debug,lemmy_db_views=debug,lemmy_routes=debug,lemmy_utils=debug,lemmy_websocket=debug

Any idea which one I should set to trace?


Matthias Pfefferle discusses the Fediverse's origins and evolution with Evan Prodromou, highlighting decentralized social networks, protocols, privacy, and the future of federated systems.


Why some federal workers aren't scared by the threat of shutdown layoffs


As the federal government appeared headed for a shutdown early last week, Jenna Norton joined a press conference outside the U.S. Capitol to urge lawmakers not to be cowed by the Trump administration's threat of mass layoffs.

"As a federal worker, I am here to tell you that every awful thing that would happen in a shutdown — shuttering programs that Americans rely on, damaging our economy, firing federal workers — all of this is already happening," said Norton, a program director with the National Institutes of Health, who spoke in her personal capacity alongside other civil servants.

...

Now furloughed, Norton continues to implore members of Congress to reject a spending deal that maintains the status quo. Instead, she hopes they'll use the moment to assert their constitutional authority — their power of the purse — to take back control of government spending.

"They accepted a position of power and privilege of representing the American people," Norton said in an interview with NPR. "If they're serious about doing that, they need to stand up and represent the American people and push back against a president who wants to be king."


Archived at web.archive.org/web/2025100712…

Questa voce è stata modificata (2 settimane fa)