Why most polls overstate support for political violence
A new poll from NPR, PBS, and Marist College published on Wednesday, Oct. 2, shows a “striking change in Americans’ views on political violence.” We have grown much more violent as a country over the last year, NPR reports, with the share of U.S. adults who agree with the statement “Americans may have to resort to violence to get the country back on track” growing from 20 to 30% over the last 18 months.This is scary data indeed. In NPR’s coverage of the poll, Cynthia Miller-Idriss, a professor at American University, says the data is “horrific”: “It’s just a horrific moment to see that people believe, honestly believe that there’s no other alternative at this point than to resort to political violence.” Where does America go from here?
But here’s the thing: The NPR/PBS/Marist poll did not ask people if they believed “there’s no other alternative at this point than to resort to political violence.” The survey asks adults whether or not they agree with the statement that people “may have to resort to violence in order to get the country back on track.” This is comparatively a much weaker statement and comes with a potentially heavy dose of measurement error. Respondents are asked to imagine a hypothetical scenario in which they’d have to commit acts of violence against a vague, unspecified victim. Maybe that means taking up arms against the government or their neighbors, or perhaps it just means throwing a rock at a cop or through a shop door.
The problem with polls and reports like this, in other words, is that they are not asking about the “political violence” we are imagining in our heads: An insurrection at the Capitol; driving a car through a crowd of protestors; shooting an activist you don’t like with a sniper rifle. The unfortunate reality (especially for those of us who care about democracy and what the people think) is that this survey does not ask whether Americans support certain acts of violence against their neighbors, even though that’s what the poll is being used as evidence for.
This disconnect between what is being polled and what is being talked about is part of a broader pattern I’ve pointed out in my recent coverage of political violence: Most polls overestimate mass support for political violence. I explain why this is the case, and why this is important for everyone from pollsters to elite journalists to casual news consumers to reckon with.
Why most polls overstate support for political violence
Misperceptions about the popularity of violence increase public support for it — but you can help change that.G. Elliott Morris (Strength In Numbers)
ICE violence caught on camera featured among evidence in new lawsuit
- YouTube
Profitez des vidéos et de la musique que vous aimez, mettez en ligne des contenus originaux, et partagez-les avec vos amis, vos proches et le monde entier.www.youtube.com
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Elected but Not Seated, Grijalva Waits to Sign Epstein Petition
The Democratic representative-elect won her Arizona seat overwhelmingly. But so far, the Republican speaker will not swear her in.
like this
Trump’s plan for Gaza rewards Israel’s genocide and punishes its victims
Two years on, complicit governments back a US plan to safeguard Jewish supremacy and mute global outrage, while Israel revives Nazi torture methods to force Palestinian surrender
Arduino (Italian Electronics Company) acquired by US-Based Qualcomm
cross-posted from: lemmy.world/post/37022550
Today we’re sharing some truly exciting news: Arduino has entered into an agreement to join the Qualcomm Technologies, Inc. family! This is a huge step in our journey – one that allows us to keep growing, thriving, and making technology accessible to everyone, while bringing our values of openness, simplicity, and community spirit to an […]
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READ THE TOS! lol
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don't like this
For every company where I have felt the need to read their terms of service and privacy policies beforehand, only once have I felt comfortable enough to go ahead and use their service.
The other twenty or so times? I have backed out. Usually I email the company first for clarity, which has always resulted in them dodging and dancing around their terrible terms and privacy practices.
It's great to be informed, but the real solutions needed are regulations and consumer protections. Being informed just results in me never using 99% of software or services.
If like me you are both lazy and not a lawyer, check ToS;DR tosdr.org/ but honestly it's like labels on food products.
You don't need the damn label to know that Coca Cola is not good but water is... so yes, don't use Facebook, great. You knew that already if you care just a bit about privacy.
Still, if you want to go there, please do check tosdr.org/ and if you can contribute back.
What I personally find more useful is F-Droid because if an app is not present on it, it's rarely because technically it can't, it's often because of anti-patterns. The app tries to go on F-Droid only to realize it's not "just" another store but they have rules, good rules IMHO, like no Google Analytics and whatever backends to track user behavior.
Also Android app analysis like exodus-privacy.eu.org/ is quite good, same idea, finding anti-patterns but not in code (which isn't a good start if it's not FOSS anyway) but rather in how the app actually behaves.
TL;DR: yes, do read the ToS if you can, but if you can't don't just press "yes" or avoid and move on, rely on the work of others like ToS;DR, F-Droid or exodus-privacy!
Terms of Service; Didn't Read
'I have read and agree to the Terms' is the biggest lie on the web. Together, we can fix that.tosdr.org
I did not say it was always bad :
if an app is not present on it, it’s rarely because technically it can’t, it’s often because of anti-patterns.
So we agree. What sparked this reasoning though was github.com/Mentra-Community/Me… which as you can see squarely fits in that pattern, namely :
- interesting open-source project targeting Android
- not focusing on distributing via F-Droid
- upon checking how to do so, discover that beside their available bandwidth, their current choices is not compatible with F-Droid.
I think it's a great example because it shows that developers themselves might not be aware of the consequence of their choices on privacy. This very project is about augmented reality and the value they try to demonstrate is that, unlike Meta for example, they do care about privacy. Yet, in practice, they do rely on Google components that do share data back.
So sure, I didn't say nor do I think ALL projects missing from F-Droid are because they have anti patterns... but more often than not they do.
PS: also noticed WireGuard is like that too. They force upgrades via their own distribution system and AFAICT F-Droid insists that it's up to the user to upgrade if they want to. It's a hard stance and it has consequences, e.g. maybe some people on F-Droid do not get WireGuard official app, maybe they get a less secure one, maybe they get it out of F-Droid and side-step the anti-pattern ... but it's also understandable.
f-droid distribution
MentraOS is open source which is great in terms of privacy. Unfortunately iOS and Android are not necessarily promoting open-source nor control by the user. F-Droid on the other hand does distribut...Utopiah (GitHub)
Denver, CO.
(I’m not actually in Denver anymore, I’m back home in Cascadia, but this was shot out that way a few days ago, and I’m trying to post only one work a day or less, so I don’t flood the community, and to give each of my works, and each of yours, greater appreciation. Thank you for understanding.)
This was shot in Union Station; I was completely new to Denver, having been there for less than thirty seconds, drinking in new architecture and taking the culture in. I think I took 120 exposures in this train station alone, and I think this is the one I liked the best. It’s such a simple image, and yet the color in it is delicious, almost food-like.
Thank you for seeing my work!
The second year of genocide was different
The second year of genocide was different
Israel got creative with new methods of mass torture and murder, giving us a choice of how we die.Qasem Waleed (Al Jazeera)
Forged KGB Documents Used to Smear Journalist in Parliament
Forged KGB Documents Used to Smear Journalist in Parliament
Ex-MP Chris Alexander accused David Pugliese of being a Russian spy. Forensic experts now say the evidence was fabricatedTaylor C. Noakes (The Walrus)
Lavrov Warns Against Military Presence of Non-Regional Actors in Afghanistan
Lavrov Warns Against Military Presence of Non-Regional Actors in Afghanistan
The deployment of third-party military infrastructure in Afghanistan is absolutely unacceptable, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said on Tuesday.Sputnik International
Czechia Under Andrej Babiš Will Be Less Pro-Ukraine And More Sovereign
Czechia Under Andrej Babiš Will Be Less Pro-Ukraine And More Sovereign
With his first message that Ukraine is not ready for EU membership, Andrej Babiš announced a dramatic shift from Prague’s previous policy, which was one of the most extreme in terms of Russophobia.Anonymous834 (South Front)
How Russia forced the West to face its own decline
How Russia forced the West to face its own decline
No single power rules the world anymore – and that may be a good thingRT
Russian presidential council urges UN to act on children’s data on Mirotvorets
Russian presidential council urges UN to act on children’s data on Mirotvorets
The council emphasized that publishing the personal information of underage children infringes on their rightsTASS
I don't know about you, but for me this is just crossing a red line, they are truly evil.
White House memo says furloughed federal workers aren't entitled to back pay
Furloughed federal workers aren't guaranteed compensation for their forced time off during the government shutdown, according to a draft White House memo described to Axios by three sources.Why it matters: If the White House acts on that legal analysis, it would dramatically escalate President Trump's pressure on Senate Democrats to end the week-old shutdown by denying back pay to as many as 750,000 federal workers after the shutdown.
https://www.axios.com/2025/10/07/trump-memo-furloughed-federal-workers-backpay
essell likes this.
MAGA-Lite: What “Bari Weiss Conservatism” Is, and Why It’s Dangerous
MAGA-Lite: What “Bari Weiss Conservatism” Is, and Why It’s Dangerous
The new CBS executive isn’t exactly MAGA. But her polite Trumpism will still help destroy America as we know it.The New Republic
What FOSS GOG Downloader/Archiver do you recommend?
I use lgogdownloader
github.com/Sude-/lgogdownloade…
from the command line on the my home server.
GitHub - Sude-/lgogdownloader: LGOGDownloader is unofficial downloader to GOG.com for Linux users. It uses the same API as the official GOG Galaxy.
LGOGDownloader is unofficial downloader to GOG.com for Linux users. It uses the same API as the official GOG Galaxy. - Sude-/lgogdownloaderGitHub
GitHub - Sude-/lgogdownloader: LGOGDownloader is unofficial downloader to GOG.com for Linux users. It uses the same API as the official GOG Galaxy.
LGOGDownloader is unofficial downloader to GOG.com for Linux users. It uses the same API as the official GOG Galaxy. - Sude-/lgogdownloaderGitHub
Tip #758
Return to the top of the page on Vivaldi Social by clicking the feed header.
To see the latest posts on Vivaldi Social after having made your way down the feed, you need to scroll to the top of the page, where the newest posts are waiting for you automatically or require a simple click to load (aka slow mode). There are a few ways you can do it, so find what works for you.
To jump to the top of the page:
- Click the feed header (Home, Trending, Notifications, etc.)
- Press “Home” on your keyboard.
- Scroll with the mouse wheel until you reach the top of the page.
- Create a Keyboard Shortcut or Mouse Gesture for the action in the Vivaldi browser.
#Mastodon #Vivaldi #VivaldiSocial
vivaldi.com/blog/tips/tip-758/
Tip #758 - Vivaldi Social | Vivaldi Browser
What’s the easiest way to return to the top of the feed in Vivaldi Social? Take a look at the options shared in this tip and find your favorite.Vivaldi Tips (Vivaldi Technologies)
How to manage configuration files
I'm trying to find a better solution to manage configuration files, both user's dotfiles and system files in /etc.
I'm running an ubuntu server where I have a bunch services with custom configurations, and systemd drop-in files, but on top of that I also have some scripts and user dotfiles that I need to track.
What I'm doing right now is that I have a folder full of symlinks in the admin user's directory (poor username choice, btw) and I'm using bindfs to mount this directory inside a git repository, this way git won't see them as symlinks, and will version them as regular files. The problem with doing this is that as git deletes and rewrites files, bindfs fails to track the changes and converts the symlink to regular files.
I looked into chezmoi, but that is only meant to track user dotfiles and will refuse to add a file from /etc, that is unless doing some extra work. But even so, chezmoi will not track the user:group of files, so I would still have to manage that manually.
I also looked into GNU Stow, and that would not complain about files from /etc or anywhere, but it similarly will not track permissions and I would have to manage that manually.
I see that some people are using ansible to manage dotfiles, but at that point, it would make sense to just migrate to ansible, except I don't want to rebuild my server from scratch to use ansible. Also it looks like a lot to learn.
Is there a better solution I'm not seeing? Maybe something using git hooks?
Edit:
I ended up using pre-commit and post-merge git hooks to launch a python script. The python script reads from a yaml file where I annotate the file paths and permissions, and then copies to or from the file location to the git repository.
I used the sudoers file to allow the admin user to run this specific script with specific arguments as root without password (because the git commands are run from VS Code and not manually), which is dangerous, be careful when doing that. I have taken special care to make this secure:
* I used absolute paths for everything, to avoid allowing running from a different pwd as a way to copy different files
* The script itself is installed in a root-owned location, so an unprevileged user cannot edit it
* The configuration yaml is root-owned, so an unprevileged user cannot modify which files are copied or their permissions
* Configuration files that can grant permission are not managed by this script (the yaml, /etc/passwd, /etc/groups, polkit rules, the sudoers file, ...)
like this
You could use aliases on your .bashrc for git (and a bare repo), that would let you manage your $HOME and /etc directly with git without using symlinks, only downside is having them separated in two aliases and two repos.
# user config repo
alias dotfiles='git --git-dir=$HOME/.dotfiles --work-tree=$HOME'
# system config repo
alias etcfiles='sudo git --git-dir=$HOME/.etcfiles --work-tree=/etc'It is also recommended that you run:
<alias> config --local status.showUntrackedFiles noin the terminal for both the
dotfiles and etcfiles aliases (you can pick the aliases and git-dir names you want)The aliases help you have a custom named folder instead of .git located in a custom path, and you can manage them without symlinks as you use git directly on the file's original location, this would solve your issue of other solutions that depend on symlinks
Note: you could technically have the root directory --work-tree=/ as a work tree to use only one command, but It is not recommended to give git the possibility to rewrite any file on the entire file system.
Some reference links:
How to Store Dotfiles - A Bare Git Repository | Atlassian Git Tutorial
It's time to find a better way to store your dotfiles. Learn why you should start using a bare Git repository instead.Atlassian
UK Age Verification Data Confirms What Critics Always Predicted: Mass Migration To Sketchier Sites
A month old now, but it's important on the unnecessary surveillance creep we keep having. First this, then digital ID.
Worrying levels of authoritarianism that solves nothing. Government are supposed to represent us, not ignore us and treat us like children. Who are they working for?
UK Age Verification Data Confirms What Critics Always Predicted: Mass Migration To Sketchier Sites
New data from the UK’s age verification rollout provides hard evidence of what internet governance experts have been warning about for years: these laws don’t protect children—they syst…Techdirt
copymyjalopy likes this.
Factcheck: What the Climate Change Act does – and does not – mean for the UK
Factcheck: What the Climate Change Act does – and does not – mean for the UK - Carbon Brief
The UK’s Climate Change Act is a landmark piece of legislation that guides the nation’s response to global warming and has proved highly influential around the world.Carbon Brief Staff (Carbon Brief)
Many governments are astonishingly dumb. If I were in charge and wanted to make pro-Israel politics, I would let them demonstrate whatever they want. Just would keep completely ignoring those demonstrations and avoid the theme altogether.
Peaceful demonstrations are completely useless, no need to fight them.
Luckily, most governments are dumb.
Major US Midwest port [Cleveland] begins electrifying operations to reduce emissions
Major Midwest port begins electrifying operations to reduce emissions
The Port of Cleveland is adding charging ports, batteries, and solar to its main warehouse — work funded by a federal program that has so far survived…Canary Media
Microsoft makes it even harder to install Windows 11 without a Microsoft Account or internet
The company has already blocked the popular oobe\bypassnro command that people used to skip parts of the initial setup, and now, Microsoft is doubling down on its efforts. In the latest Windows 11 preview builds, the software giant makes it much harder to install Windows 11 without a Microsoft Account.
How Mark Carney is complicating Canada’s climate progress
From cancelling the carbon tax to pausing the electric vehicle mandate, the Carney government is making sweeping changes to the country’s environmental rules
How Mark Carney is complicating Canada’s climate progress | The Narwhal
From cancelling the ‘carbon tax’ to pausing the EV mandate, Mark Carney’s government is making sweeping changes to Canada’s environmental rulesCarl Meyer (The Narwhal)
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We kinda need both.
Oil isn’t just for cars and power plants. Oil is a chemical used in so many things, from asphalt to medicine.
But we should be transitioning to green energy, which is less centralized than a few big power plants, less polluting, and therefore more secure from threats. It’s also getting cheaper and cheaper by the month.
I want a strong Canada that can run our own critical supply chains, and I want a green Canada that doesn’t let our mines throw their tailings into our drinking water and our air is clean. And I want a secure Canada that can stand up to bullies without fear.
Solar and wind surge signals a turning point | Rapid solar and wind growth in the first half of 2025 signals that fossil fuel demand is nearing its peak.
Global Electricity Mid-Year Insights 2025 | Ember
Solar and wind outpaced demand growth in the first half of 2025, as renewables overtook coal’s share in the global electricity mix.Ember
Tory plan to scrap net zero target puts UK climate leadership at risk
Tory plan to scrap net zero target puts UK climate leadership at risk
The country has enjoyed a unique period of consensus and stability under the Climate Change Act, which the Tories now want to scrap.The Conversation
like this
Marine heatwaves to become more frequent off UK and Irish coasts, experts say | Scientists find 10% chance that similar events to the ‘unheard of’ temperatures in 2023 could occur each year
Marine heatwaves to become more frequent off UK and Irish coasts, experts say
Scientists find 10% chance that similar events to the ‘unheard of’ temperatures in 2023 could occur each yearHelena Horton (The Guardian)
Billionaires and their companies still cooking the planet from their private enclaves, close neighborhoods, and vehicles?
...and we still haven't been able to kill them yet?
Anyone else live somewhere that has had people joining in a WiFi naming joke?
My WiFi is ‘Secret Rebel Base’.
My neighbours have added ‘Java the Hub’, ‘Obi Lan Kenobi’, and ‘Red WiFi-ve Standing By’. This makes me happy.
Anyone else live in a neighbourhood that embraces this kind of WiFi silliness?
like this
Sadly in my apartment complex they seem to all use the default name given by the router (like Carrier-randomnumbers).
I have a friend who named his WiFi "Connecting..." which is diabolical
Pope Leo to visit Turkey and Lebanon on first overseas trip
Pope Leo to visit Turkey and Lebanon on first overseas trip
Pontiff expected to appeal for peace across the Middle East and speak about the persecution of Christians in regionAngela Giuffrida (The Guardian)
World News reshared this.
A good person would be more concerned about some other kind of persecutions taking place right now.
Seems almost like Donald and Elon advocating against whites discrimination in South Africa.
Is Your Phone Spying on You? Here's Why French Authorities Are Investigating Apple Over Siri Recordings
Is Your Phone Spying on You? Here's Why French Authorities Are Investigating Apple Over Siri Recordings
French prosecutors have launched a cybercrime investigation into Apple's handling of Siri voice recordings after a complaint claimed users' private conversations were captured and reviewed without...Tanmay (International Business Times)
I don't think that ICE would only surveil American phones.
independent.co.uk/news/world/a…
ICE just bought new tool to monitor hundreds of millions of smartphones. Experts say its dangerous
Move comes after immigration agencies ceased buying some location data during Biden administration after inspectors found they abused privacy protectionsJosh Marcus (The Independent)
"I was beaten by Israeli police," says European MEP Rima Hassan after Sumud Flotilla detention
French Member of the European Parliament Rima Hassan, of Palestinian origin, said she was beaten by 'Israeli' police after the interception of the Global Sumud Flotilla en route to Gaza.
Speaking to Agence France-Presse at Athens International Airport on Monday, where she arrived alongside other deported activists including Swedish climate activist Greta Thunberg, Hassan said, “I was beaten while being put into a police car by two Israeli officers.” Wearing gray prison garments similar to those worn by Thunberg, she added, “We have a lot to reveal,” condemning the treatment they received and affirming that “some of us were beaten.”
Hassan did not provide further details about the alleged assault, stating only, “Sometimes there were 13 to 15 of us in a single cell, not on beds but on mats on the floor… in the high-security Israeli prison in the Negev. We lacked everything.” Thunberg, speaking from Athens, also denounced “mistreatment and abuses” during her detention but did not go into specifics.
☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆ likes this.
CommunityHasNoFollowers error
2025-10-07T12:20:11.488023Z WARN Error encountered while processing the incoming HTTP request: lemmy_server::root_span_builder: CommunityHasNoFollowers: CommunityHasNoFollowers
0: lemmy_apub::activities::community::announce::receive
at crates/apub/src/activities/community/announce.rs:161
1: lemmy_server::root_span_builder::HTTP request
with http.method=POST http.scheme="http" http.host=lemmy.domain.ext http.target=/inbox otel.kind="server" request_id=02568c66-9ed6-4eb0-b533-77b19rcdef56 http.status_code=400 otel.status_code="OK"
at src/root_span_builder.rs:16Is there a way to determine which communities are throwing this error, and force the unsubscribe?
RUST_LOG=warn,extism=info,lemmy_server=debug,lemmy_api=debug,lemmy_api_common=debug,lemmy_api_crud=debug,lemmy_apub=debug,lemmy_db_schema=debug,lemmy_db_views=debug,lemmy_routes=debug,lemmy_utils=debug,lemmy_websocket=debugAny idea which one I should set to trace?
Why some federal workers aren't scared by the threat of shutdown layoffs
As the federal government appeared headed for a shutdown early last week, Jenna Norton joined a press conference outside the U.S. Capitol to urge lawmakers not to be cowed by the Trump administration's threat of mass layoffs."As a federal worker, I am here to tell you that every awful thing that would happen in a shutdown — shuttering programs that Americans rely on, damaging our economy, firing federal workers — all of this is already happening," said Norton, a program director with the National Institutes of Health, who spoke in her personal capacity alongside other civil servants.
...
Now furloughed, Norton continues to implore members of Congress to reject a spending deal that maintains the status quo. Instead, she hopes they'll use the moment to assert their constitutional authority — their power of the purse — to take back control of government spending.
"They accepted a position of power and privilege of representing the American people," Norton said in an interview with NPR. "If they're serious about doing that, they need to stand up and represent the American people and push back against a president who wants to be king."
Archived at web.archive.org/web/2025100712…
Why some federal workers aren't scared by the threat of shutdown layoffs
Some federal workers support the government shutdown, even as President Trump threatens to use this moment to lay off employees and cut funding to programs.NPR
essell likes this.
Kami
in reply to skepller • • •