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Every economic system fails in an AI world according to Ruri Ohama. She starts off questioning experts' predictions for the near term, where people think jobs like taxi drivers will be replaced. She thinks lawyers will be replaced sooner than people think. AI lawyers have the potential to be less biased than humans, and they are good at recognizing patterns. Maybe a little too good right now, as current AIs hallucinate, but she thinks future AIs won't have that problem.

She thinks AI will be able to automate not just low-end "junior" software engineers, but the expensive "senior" software engineers.

She thinks AIs are capable of creativity. Creativity is combining existing ideas in an original way.

(As soon as I saw the "Napoleon as a rat" picture, I knew AI could combine existing ideas in an original way and thus were creative. If you asked any human to make a picture of Napoleon as a rat and they came up with the picture Dall-E came up with, you wouldn't hesitate to say they were "creative".)

She thinks the job of managers can be automated by AI. Management is resource allocation. AIs are already better than humans at data analysis. CEOs may still be needed as visionaries, but the management layer can be replaced by AI.

(I think it may take longer than she thinks because she's not taking into account office politics. People will "play politics" to keep their jobs as long as possible.)

She thinks AI will become better than doctors at diagnosis. AIs can be taught millions of drug interactions and symptom combinations.

If AI is cheaper than hiring humans, the likelihood of replacing humans is quite high, but it all depends on what AI excels at.

Even if AI creates new job opportunities, AI learns and adapts faster than humans. So humans learn the new jobs but they disappear quickly, and then human have to learn new jobs again, faster each time. It's as if we humans are playing a game of musical chairs, with the music getting faster and faster and the chairs disappearing.

Gen Z already trust ChatGPT more than human salespeople.

People say the economy will shift to an "experience economy", but she wonders who is going to pay for these human-created "experiences", when the majority of people don't have incomes and don't have purchasing power.

(I know the answer to this: the economy has already shifted significantly towards luxury goods and services for the wealthy instead of consumer goods for the masses, and I expect this trend to accelerate.)

She brings up the subject of universal basic income (UBI). She thinks the people who provide goods and services can simply raise prices to absorb the UBI. She uses the example of landlords and rent.

(She doesn't realize this, but in the San Francisco Bay Area, which is geographically constrained -- bounded by the Pacific Ocean, the San Francisco Bay, and the Diablo mountain range which separates the Bay Area from the central valley -- economists have estimated that essentially all increases in average salary have been absorbed by increased rent, and it's actually the landlords that have made all the money, more or less, from the explosion of economic activity in the area. If you ever move to the Bay Area, make sure you become a landlord. Does this principle apply everywhere? Maybe not as not everywhere is geographically constrained the way the Bay Area is.)

She uses this as a segue into a discussion of socialism vs capitalism and her conclusion that there is no economic system that works in an AI world. With AI automating away labor, it also takes away all the bargaining power workers have, even collectively.

She doesn't think AI will create unlimited "abundance" because there will always be things, such as land and human attention, that are not abundant.

"What if the answer is that there is no answer? Because in a VUCA age which is basically high volatility, uncertainty, ambiguity, error, the future is never in an extension of the past. So no one actually knows what will happen in the future. What if we're heading towards an economic system so different that we can't even conceive of it yet?"

("VUCA" is a military acronym that stands for "volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity.")

"No one knows what's going to happen next because of the accelerating pace of the changes that are happening in the world."

"So in my opinion asking the question of which jobs will disappear, which jobs will emerge is actually a pointless question to ask."

"I read bunch of books about the experts' predictions from years ago about AI. Even like two years ago and most of the things that they said were completely wrong. So even experts are failing at trying to predict the future because it's so different than we have ever experienced before."

(Most of the books she read are in Japanese, so you might have trouble reading them yourself.)

#solidstatelife #ai #technologicalunemployment

Emmanuel Florac reshared this.

in reply to Wayne Radinsky

Interesting. Fortunately, mostly wrong, because AI is mostly an instrument of power. It's probably unable to do most jobs for various reasons and will remain so for quite some time. However it's an important propaganda device towards technofeudalism, where a bunch of oligarchs will control AI and the world, and everyone else will be a serf.
in reply to Wayne Radinsky

AI is a cash cow ghost. The US wants to build its economy on it but it is a phantom. The extreme errors that AI makes are crazy but people still believe that it is a computer so people still think that it must be correct but it no longer is. AI is about probability, not fact. Previously computers were used to calculate facts but now they just make an educated guess by looking at millions of previous views. AI has some really worthwhile uses but the main problem is the term as there is no intelligence involved. I do support the technology but there is no magic involved. We do not need Luddites, the fashion will pass and we can get back to simply using a new technology.



#Dentsu’s US subsidiary Merkle hit by cyberattack, staff and client data exposed
securityaffairs.com/184017/dat…
#securityaffairs #hacking









Notte da re per Sucic: titolare e gol da predestinato. "Lavoro duro ma è normale non giocare sempre"
https://www.gazzetta.it/Calcio/Serie-A/Inter/30-10-2025/petar-sucic-il-talento-croato-dell-inter-primo-gol-e-parole-da-veterano.shtml?utm_source=flipboard&utm_medium=activitypub

Pubblicato su Calcio @calcio-Gazzetta



Habeas Corpus - Darcy James Argue - Secret Society
#infernalmachines
youtube.com/watch?v=b0Cw_pLDfl…


t.me/RussiaDailyDE/31229
Die Premierminister von Ungarn und der Slowakei, Viktor Orbán und Robert #Fico, werden von den Brüsseler Bürokraten als zwei "Splitter im Körper der #EU" wahrgenommen – die liberalen Globalisten werden alles tun, um sie loszuwerden. Diese Überze...
#eu #fico




Trying to schedule while in deadline hell, and being overwhelmed

Husbeard in my voice: "I've got DYSENTRY or whatever the fuck"

Me, corpsing: "DYSCALCULIA"

Oblomov reshared this.

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mastodon - Collegamento all'originale
JenJen
@neil @PedroLaBarba this is what I live with everyday Neil. Send help
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Il nuovo #missile russo - dotato di propulsione nucleare - sarebbe in grado di viaggiare per un tempo indefinito a bassa quota in tutto il mondo.
La #Russia lo ha appena finito di testare.

#Burevestnik è un missile da crociera intercontinentale e Mosca sostiene non possa essere rilevato da alcun sistema di difesa. È "invincibile, non esistono suoi analoghi", ha detto #Putin.

I rischi ecologici sono ancora tutti da esplorare.

m.youtube.com/watch?v=kSqJ6J4N…

Questa voce è stata modificata (1 settimana fa)


Any Sphinx themes you like?

Thinking of switching to something else from sphinx_rtd_theme

#Python #Sphinx



Brasiliens Präsident Lula verspricht Strategie gegen Drogengangs

Mehr als 120 Menschen starben bei dem Polizeieinsatz gegen Drogenbanden in Rio. Brasiliens Präsident kündigte nun eine neue Strategie gegen Drogenhandel und Gewalt an. Rios Gouverneur hingegen wählte Worte, die an Trump erinnern.

➡️ tagesschau.de/ausland/amerika/…

#Brasilien #RiodeJaneiro #Lula #Drogen




M'agradaria escriure un ebuild per #Gentoo per a instal·lar #DeltaChat a Gnome però no en tinc ni idea per on començar ni com es fa.
Així de lluny estic d'aconseguir el meu objectiu però ja m'han recomanat que demani ajuda en el seu fòrum.

in reply to The Gib

@francina1909
"Lo scientismo è credere che la scienza possa rispondere all’enigma del vivere. ...... la scienza ci spiega come vivere, ma la vita ci richiede di porci la domanda sul perché vivere."

Le parole precedenti non fanno una piega, ma
c'è sempre un preconcetto.
Chi l'ha detto che noi esseri umani siamo l'animale prescelto? Prescelto dal soprannaturale o da noi stessi.
E non siamo invece solamente uno degli innumerevoli organismi che prolificano su questo universo ?



Sensitive content

reshared this

in reply to Yaku 🐗

ti prego dimmi che la richiesta è: stampare il documento


Levaduras eliminan hasta el 98% del cobre en la fermentación del vino según un estudio francés vinetur.com/2025102992756/non-… #vino #levaduras #sostenibilidad #ecología #viticultura




🏛️🇬🇪 High on a hillside above Chiatura, Georgia, a grand Soviet building stands in ruin. Its curved front and rows of columns still overlook the town in the slopes and valley below. Inside are the fragile remains of a theatre, the roof long since collapsed.

Full feature live Saturday at 8pm (UK)

#Georgia #Chiatura #Ruins #History

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La banalità del male pratica la banalizzazione del bene


Internet sta bruciando
indiscreto.org/internet-sta-br…

#webarchiving



Today, the Re:Flexus Trio plays Braga Santos #Kurtág, Sánchez-Verdú and #Mamlok in #Lisbon worldconcerthall.com/en/schedu… #wch


Venezia, “The idea of sculpture. From the hand to the robot”. Pronto il volume sulla mostra e su Bacardi

Libro che ripercorre la mostra attualmente visitabile a Palazzo Bollani [.....]

veneto.gaiaitalia.com/uncatego…



Bedankt voor je stem. Voor de dieren. Voor het klimaat. Voor een gezonde toekomst. 🙏💚


You wake up tomorrow with 50k stars on your repo, what is your next move?

Technology Channel reshared this.




Ein ehemaliger Klimaminister gewinnt den Wahlkampf in den 🇳🇱 vor den Rechtsextremen, indem er sich klar abgrenzt, eine Kooperation mit ihnen ausschließt & einen pro-demokratischen & pro-🇪🇺 Kurs fährt.

"Nachhaltigkeit wird zur Norm werden, und Umweltverschmutzung wird angemessen besteuert werden."



Whenever somebody sends me "'#AI" slop, I now reply with a mere "✨💩", and end the conversation right there.

#AIslop


in reply to Marlen

Das Bild zeigt eine Gruppe von Vögeln in der Luft über Wasser. Es sind fünf Vögel zu sehen, von denen sich alle in unterschiedlicher Höhe in der Luft befinden. Die Vögel haben weiße Federn mit schwarzen Spitzen an den Flügeln. Der Himmel im Hintergrund ist bewölkt und der Wasser ist ruhig. Die Unterseite eines Baumes ist am rechten Rand des Bildes sichtbar.

Bereitgestellt von @altbot, privat und lokal generiert mit Gemma3:12b

🌱 Energieverbrauch: 0.366 Wh



Dungeons Dragons and Drawings prompt healer/Heiler*in

A little bit of needle and thread and it'll all be fixed. A good tailor had the potential to be a great healer... I wonder about Garak's potential (from DS9)

In Castellano (body) tissue and (clothing) material is the same word.

Alt text : 20 words

#DDnD #KleineKunstklasse #MastoArt #KittyDraws

Unknown parent

mastodon - Collegamento all'originale
Das Metal Kitty
@bestiaexmachina Thank you 💚 I got into a mess with this one and had to restart several times as I was so tired.


This is so cool!!
mastodon.social/@openbsdjourna…


Coming soon: my debut holding a public talk in Romanian! 🇷🇴